A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, March 20, 2009

Council by-election results

Last night's council by-election results:

Pendlebury Ward, Salford MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1055 (38.2%, +1.3), Con 874 (31.6%, +0.4), BNP 373 (13.5%, +0.2), LD 368 (13.3%, -0.9), Ind 49 (1.8%, -2.6), Green 43 (1.6%, +1.6). Swing of 0.5% from Con to Lab since 2008.

Chiltern Woods Ward, South Oxfordshire DC. Con hold. Con 382 (79.4%, +9.4%), LD 99 (20.6%, +5.2). Swing of 2.1% from LD to Con since 2007.

Leek East Ward, Staffordshire Moorlands DC. Con 452 (38.7%, -7.6), LD 238 (20.4%, +20.4), Ind 197 (16.9%, +16.9), Staffs Ind Group 189 (16.2%, +16.2), Green 91 (7.8%, +7.8). Swing of 14% from Con to LD since 2007.

Larkswood Ward, LB Waltham Forest. Con hold. Con 1393 (73.5%, +19.3), Lab 255 (13.5%, -2.1), LD 144 (7.6%, -4.1), Green 102 (5.4%, -4.2). Swing of 10.7% from Lab to Con since 2006.

Next week's ones should be more interesting as they include marginal wards - a Con vs Lab fight in Jacqui Smith's Redditch seat and a 3-way Con/Lab/LD one in Andrew Smith's Oxford East seat, both parliamentary ultra-marginals.


Blogger Merseymike said...

Note no Labour candidate in leek East. It may be a Tory ward but surely Labour should stand candidates in seats it holds in Parliament?

10:51 am, March 20, 2009

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Tories are fiddling the figures, on CON Home they are reporting for Pendlebury that Labours share of the vote is DOWN 8% and the Tory vote is UP 9% http://tinyurl.com/d8hj49
They also fail to report that Labour has actually increased their majority.

10:05 pm, March 20, 2009

Anonymous Anonymous said...

As recently as 1998 Labour entertained serious thoughts about winning Larkswood. Now the Tories have nearly three quarters of the vote, even though the demography has moved in Labour's direction since 1998- Chingford is an awful lot less White than it used to be. OK, Waltham Forest Council isn't very good (its 4 star rating is a bit of a laugh if you look at secondary school results, the state of the streets or the feebleness of its Housing ALMO) and Chingford Labour Party still thinks it's campaigning for Tony Benn against Denis Healey, but this is the kind of result that makes old fashioned Labour moderates like me wonder how we lost the plot.

11:01 pm, March 20, 2009

Blogger Merseymike said...

But isn't Chingford one of those exaggeratedly anti-Labour areas on the fringes of London which has moved further away from Labour?

12:28 am, March 21, 2009

Blogger Tim Roll-Pickering said...

Stu: The difference is that Luke's figures are comparing against the last time the ward was contested (2008) whereas the ConservativeHome figures are (I presume) comparing against the last time the seat in question was contested (2007). It's not a fiddle but a difference of opinion on which numbers to use (similar to the debate about how to calculate percentages in multi-seat elections), and I'm not sure if it originates at ConservativeHome's end or at the source of the figures.

4:18 am, March 21, 2009


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