Results last night, with the trend of the LDs slumping badly in urban areas confirmed by the Camden result in a ward which had 3 LD councillors until May:
Kentish Town Ward, LB Camden. Lab hold. Lab 1411 (53%, +16.4), LD 715 (26.9%, -4.1), Green 349 (13.1%, -2.1), Con 186 (7%, -5.4). Swing of 10.3% from LD to Lab since May this year.
Springbank Ward, Cheltenham BC. LD hold. LD 722 (66.4%, -2.8), Con 188 (17.3%, -13.5), Lab 142 (13.1%, +13.1), Green 35 (3.2%, +3.2). Swing of 5.4% from Con to LD since May this year.
East Kilbride West Ward, South Lanarkshire Council. Lab hold. First preferences: Lab 847 (41.4%, +0.8), SNP 571 (27.9%, -2.4), Con 403 (19.7%, +5.7), Green 82 (4%, +0.2), EKA 71 (3.5%, -0.7), LD 70 (3.4%, -3.7). Swing of 1.6% from SNP to Lab since 2007.
nearly beating the tories into second in Cheltenham
ReplyDeletewell done comrades
Transfers in East Kilbride West
ReplyDeleteLD eliminated....24 to Con, 16 to Lab, 16 to SNP, 5 to East Kilbride Alliance, 3 to Greens
6 Non transferable
East Kilbride Alliance eliminated....19 to SNP, 15 to Con, 15 to Green, 10 to Lab
17 Non transferable
Green eliminated....35 to SNP, 19 to Lab, 13 to Con
33 Non transferable
Con eliminated....120 to SNP, 81 to Lab
254 non transferable
Final round Lab 973 SNP 761
Luke,
ReplyDeleteInteresting results.
Seems that the coalition's HB proposals have gone down really badly in London but have struck a bit of a chord in Scotland.
Possibly because the scottish electors do not realise how expensive rental accomodation is in London?
Also, the change %'s you list for Kentish Town do not net off to zero. Is there an error in the change %'s or a party who had a candidate in the previous election, missing from the list?
'“Our goal is to make responsibility the cornerstone of our welfare state. Housing Benefit will be reformed to ensure that we do not subsidise people to live in the private sector on rents that other ordinary working families could not afford. And we will continue to crack down on those who try to cheat the benefit system.'
ReplyDeleteStraight out of this year's Labour GE manifesto,so the ethnic cleansing was New Labour's manifesto committment,that explains why they are so pissed off at having their idea nicked.
but have struck a bit of a chord in Scotland.
ReplyDeleteNo reason to assume that from the by-election.
"or a party who had a candidate in the previous election, missing from the list?"
ReplyDeleteBNP and one of the various Socialist fringe parties stood last May but not this time
Alun,
ReplyDeleteTories share of vote in Thursday's by-ections:
UP 5.7% in East Kilbride
DOWN 5.4% in Kentish Town
DOWN 13.5% in Cheltenham
Coalition's HB proposals were the live issue last week.
What's your explanation, because the Tories vote in East Kilbride goes against all recent Scottish polls?
Why is it apparently ok for the former equalities minister to call someone a ginger rodent but not ok for someone to be called a pak*?
ReplyDeleteWould it be acceptable to call Diane Abbott a black rodent?
Or is the reality of the equalities act that discrimination is not applicable to white people?
Luke,
ReplyDeleteWere you comfortable about the blatant discriminatory remark by your deputy leader yesterday?
Ginger,rodent,mutant.
Is all that anti discrimination stuff your party passed just restricted to anyone that doesn't have a white skin colour?
As someone even more ginger than Danny I would have preferred she confined herself to attacking his politics not his hair colour.
ReplyDeleteBeg to remind you what happened to William Rufus - alledgedly mistaken foe a squirrel.
ReplyDeleteGW
Dear me, Harriet certainly seems to have put the cat amongst the pidgeons if not the Picts amongst the Scots, many of whom sport red hair.
ReplyDeleteApart from being an appalling remark from a former Equalities Minister, who would incarcerate those who make offensive remarks over race, colour or creed, it really wasn't very clever in Scotland, the ancestral home of the redhead.
Returning to by-election results, I seem to recall that it was only a little while ago that Labour were dismissing local results as being unindicative of peoples voting intentions in general elections. How times change and how little minds are so easily pleased.
Anonymous 4:56PM yesterday;
ReplyDeleteThe "explanation" may have more to do with demographics, apparently.
Just saying.......
Luke,
ReplyDeleteGet real Luke, if someone had called Diane Abbott a black rodent the left would have been up in arms,not some lame excuse about preffering that they attacked the policy instead.
Or is it ok because the discrimination came from the lips of the deputy leader of the Labour party?
I don't think Scottish results are particularly easy to compare because of the SNP presence
ReplyDeleteWhat we have here is a small Tory vote and a smaller FibDem vote which appears to have swapped a few voters. Most others are largely unchanged
Thus, its not going to make a huge impact given that neither of those parties were ever competitive here
I've never dismissed local govt by-elections as being unindicitive of wider trends. That's why I have been publishing them here every Friday for 3 years.
ReplyDeleteLuke, I never said you did dismiss local elections results but I can recall seeing senior government ministers on TV doing so when challenged over their losses when Labour was doing badly. Just find it amusing how politicians, of all parties, attempt to turn things to their advantage when it suits and dismiss them as insignificant when it does not.
ReplyDeleteSeems to me that local results frequently turn against the party in office, often show low turnouts and, quite frequently, are completely reversed when it really matters.
For years in my home patch we had a Labour MP and a Tory Council. Now we have a Tory MP and Labour have made a gain in the only recent by-election result. Could it be easier to motivate activists and supporters when in opposition?
I've got a lot of respect for someone like you when it comes to dealing with gingerphobia.
ReplyDeleteI just stumbled across this by accident, but I've been looking for days for the result of the East Kilbride West election result from 28th.
ReplyDeleteCouldn't find it antwhwere. My vote didn't get EKA very far though.
I didn't vote at all for the others. Waste of time the lot of them.
I just realised my vote to EKA did make a difference, it pushed the LDs into last place. Great result!
ReplyDeleteBrilliant results - Luke, is there any centralised list of upcoming by-elections?
ReplyDelete