Boundary Review Modelling
The modelling of a potential outcome of the forthcoming Parliamentary Boundary Review by Lewis Baston is being put online region by region on the Democratic Audit website. It shows which individual wards go into which of the seats Lewis has modelled:
http://www.democraticaudit.com/the-uks-new-political-map
An interesting quote from the North West document is: "A hugely overpopulated inner city seat at present, [Manchester] Central can lose a whole (large) Manchester ward. Liverpool Riverside can also remain unchanged. The ‘depopulated inner city constituency’ is largely a myth."
3 Comments:
East Ham, West Ham and Ilford South are also examples of very large inner-city constituencies, while there are some very small electorates in very Tory rural seats: Hexham, Derbyshire Dales, and the new Kenilworth and Southam.
Of course I will take a great deal of pleasure in observing the faces of all the Tories when they realise that, despite forcing this boundary change, they have not addressed the main reasons why the electoral system gives Labour more seats.
8:43 pm, June 09, 2011
A large reason why the Labour Party
wins so many seats with so few votes is because of low turnout in its safe seats. The Conservative party is generally not affected by this problem.
2:18 pm, June 10, 2011
"Ilford South are also examples of very large inner-city constituencies"
Until 1992, when Mike Gapes scraped home, Ilford South had voted for the Government at every General election since 1945.
9:16 am, June 11, 2011
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