A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, March 16, 2012

Council by-elections


Yesterday's results, including two great gains for Labour in Braintree, Essex. Well done the CLP and its Organiser Peter Long on these results:

Toton & Chilwell Meadows Ward, Broxtowe DC. Con hold. Con 831 (47.6%, -1.1), Lab 385 (22.1%, -7.4), LD 300 (17.2%, +5.2), UKIP 228 (13.1%, +3.4). Swing of 3.2% from Lab to Con since 2011.

Chilwell & Toton Division, Nottinghamshire CC. Con hold. Con 1958 (48.8%, +5.9), LD 1375 (34.2%, +20.6), UKIP 682 (17%, +7). Swing of 7.4% from Con to LD since 2009.

Braintree East Ward, Braintree DC. Lab gain from Con. Lab 544 (46.5%, +4.5), Con 388 (33.1%, -8.6), UKIP 131 (11.2%, +11.2), Green 76 (6.5%, -9.8), Ind 32 (2.7%, +2.7). Swing of 6.6% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Braintree South Ward, Braintree DC. Lab gain from Con. Lab 596 (50.2%, +16.6), Con 476 (40.1%, +3.7), Green 116 (9.8%, -2.8). Swing of 6.5% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Great Notley & Braintree West Ward, Braintree DC. Con hold. Con 532 (54.3%, -13.5), Lab 232 (23.7%, +4.4), UKIP 155 (15.8%, +15.8), Green 61 (6.2%, -6.7). Swing of 9% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Porchester East Ward, Fareham BC. LD hold. LD 1216 (47.8%, -9.5), Con 840 (33%, +1.9), Lab 323 (12.7%, +1.1), Green 90 (3.5%, +3.5), Ind 77 (3%, +3). Swing of 5.7% from LD to Con since 2010.

Hertford Ward, Scarborough BC. Con gain from Green. Con 663 (60.5%, +22.6), Lab 208 (19%, +6.9), UKIP 126 (11.5%, +11.5), LD 99 (9%, +9). Swing of 7.9% from Lab to Con since 2011.

7 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Lab/C swing in Broxtowe is just over 3%, not 4.3%.

12:28 am, March 17, 2012

 
Blogger Luke Akehurst said...

Sorry my mistake! Will correct.

9:36 am, March 17, 2012

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Braintree highlights a big problem that the Labour Party had in October 1974--marginal Conservative seats that failed to fall. There were a lot of them at that general election.

The swing was less than 1% in that constituency on that occasion. However, there were a number of even easier targets that failed to fall too.

I imagine Luke is well aware of this. It certainly shows how every vote counts.

12:23 pm, March 19, 2012

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Do the LibDems have a problem in Braintree?

4:53 pm, March 19, 2012

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well, I would imagine that if there are two by elections and they don't have a candidate in either, then that could be construed as a problem in some quarters.

Hope this helps.

2:03 pm, March 20, 2012

 
Anonymous Mike said...

Don`t forget Braintree East had 11% for UKIP - this obviously siphoned Conservative votes off.

12:58 pm, March 21, 2012

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

all of the recent local elections from around the country show big swings to UKIP from nothing, the sort of advances the traditional partys could only would wish for

9:21 pm, March 22, 2012

 

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