A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Thursday, November 04, 2010

Council By-elections

Seven tonight with some great results for Labour, including southern gains in Cambridge and Swindon thanks to a collapsing urban LD vote:

Coleridge Ward, Cambridge City Council. Lab gain from Con. Lab 900 (44%, +11.7), Con 734 (35.9%, +7.5), LD 223 (10.9%, -14.6), Green 137 (6.7%, -4.2), UKIP 53 (2.6%, -0.3). Swing of 1.6% from Con to Lab since May this year.

Cenarth Ward, Carmarthen CC. PC gain from Ind. PC 636 (81.9%, +59.4), Con 141 (18.1%, +18.1). Swing of 20.7% from Con to PC since 2008.

Ladywell Ward, LB Lewisham. Lab hold. Lab 1231 (41.4%, +3.2), Green 1041 (35%, +6.4), LD 314 (10.6%, -5.2), People not Profit 233 (7.8%, nc), Con 153 (5.1%, -4.6). Swing of 1.6% from Lab to Green since May this year. This ward had 3 Green councillors until May.

Hulme Ward, Manchester MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1035 (60.7%, +14.9), Green 451 (26.5%, +4.5), LD 151 (8.9%. -14.1), Con 67 (3.9%, -6.3). Swing of 5.2% from Green to Lab since May this year.

Ponteland East Division, Northumberland CC. Con hold. Con 843 (62.6%, +2.1), LD 403 (29.9%, +1.6), Lab 100 (7.4%, +2.9). Swing of 0.3% from LD to Con since 2008.

Lyth Valley Ward, South Lakeland DC. Con gain from LD. Con 474 (49.5%, +5.1), LD 451 (47.1%, -8.5), Lab 32 (3.3%, +3.3). Swing of 6.8% from LD to Con since 2008.

Moredon Ward, Swindon UA. Lab gain from Con. Lab 887 (47.5%, +12.2), Con 755 (40.4%, +1.9), UKIP 129 (6.9%, +6.9), LD 98 (5.2%, -12.9). Swing of 5.2% from Con to Lab since May this year.

11 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

very positive results especially Swindon and the South, first seat lost there by cons since 2002.

I do believe Ed is an asset because he has no arrogance about him and a quiet manner that neutrals and swing voters will like unlike DM who was too tainted.

just need to keep progressing and stay united.

12:45 am, November 05, 2010

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Tory Free Cambridge

see Lib Dem in Swindon dropped 700 votes

10:09 am, November 05, 2010

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

My thoughts on last night's by-election results:

Hulme - Inner city deprived area. Lib Dem vote collapses. From 1229 votes May 2010 to 151 votes Nov 2010
Cambridge - University Town. Lib Dem vote collapses. From 1040 votes May 2010 to 223 votes Nov 2010

Swindon - South West Seat. Lib Dem vote collapses. From 792 votes May 2010 to 98 votes Nov 2010.

Lewisham - London Borough. Ward had 3 Green Party councillors till May 2010 when Labour made 3 gains.Labour councillor resigned following drink/drive offence. In circumstances Labour did well to win. Lib Dem vote collapses. From 899 votes May 2010 to 314 votes Nov 2010.

Ponteland East (Northumberland) - Rural seat. Tories slightly increase majority over Libs. Labour share slightly up in unwinnable seat.

Cenarth - Welsh Rural seat. Local Tory web site claims they ran an excellent campaign and nearly caused a sensation by taking the seat. In fact Plaid Cymru beat Tories with a 515 (63.8%) majority. No Labour candidate.

South Lakeland - Rural seat. Tory gain seat from Libs by 23 votes. Labour did not stand in 2008 but did so this time gaining 32 votes, just enough to ensure the Libs lost. How delicious!

3:17 pm, November 05, 2010

 
Anonymous David said...

The Lewisham councillor resigned to take a job in South Africa, not because of drink driving.

9:14 pm, November 05, 2010

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

In my seat in SE Wales (a Labour marginal vs Libdems since May) we are heartened by these results and a recent poll showing LibDems in our region are at 5 (yes 5) %. But in order to profit fully, we must stop own goals like the Tower Hamlets mayor's nest (totally agreed with Luke on Ken Livingstone's unacceptable behaviour), loose remarks eg red rodents, regular new revelations on Labour peers or MPs cheating on their expenses (we need a once for all clean-out), and today's Election Court disaster courtesy of ex-Labour MP Woolas.
Ed needs to be quietly very tough now.

9:31 pm, November 05, 2010

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

the by-election in lewisham was not caused by a drink/drive offence - the guy took a job in south africa

10:13 pm, November 05, 2010

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Why does Red Ed keep going into hiding whenever his party has a crisis?

Two weeks ago he dissapeared when Livingstone was flouting the party's rules and now he's invisible when his recent appointment of shadow immigration minister is convicted of lies and racism.

Only 5 weeks as leader,two major issues that require leadership and each time he goes into hiding.

12:02 am, November 06, 2010

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"South Lakeland - Rural seat. Tory gain seat from Libs by 23 votes. Labour did not stand in 2008 but did so this time gaining 32 votes, just enough to ensure the Libs lost. How delicious"

Just because two events occur at the same time does not necessarily mean there is a causal link.

Does the sound of the rooster cause the sun to rise?

10:55 am, November 06, 2010

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Two weeks ago he dissapeared when Livingstone was flouting the party's rules and now he's invisible when his recent appointment of shadow immigration minister is convicted of lies and racism.

Livingstone is not perfect, but is a good asset, so Ed is right to stay out and let it ride out. The shadow immigration, don't make a big issue as the big issue is not internal squabbling, but to attack the Tories and Libs

10:39 pm, November 06, 2010

 
Blogger Merseymike said...

How can giving an interview on TV making it clear that Woolas was found guilty and so will not be supported being 'invisible'?

6:59 pm, November 07, 2010

 
Blogger Edward Carlsson Browne said...

Anonymous - the Lib Dems did poorly in Cambridge, but not that poorly.

Their voters in Coleridge seem to be overwhelmingly students at Anglia Ruskin, who never turn out in local elections. They worked if briefly in 2005-6, but then their candidate got elected elsewhere, and since then they've consistently hovered around 10%, except in May.

11:38 pm, November 08, 2010

 

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