A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, October 24, 2014

Council by-elections

There were eight council by-elections yesterday, with Labour, the Tories and the SNP each gaining a seat from Independents.

Oban North & Lorn Ward, Argyll & Bute UA. SNP gain from Ind. First preference votes: SNP 1090 (40.9%, +16.3), Ind 629 (23.6%, -11.6), Lab 530 (19.9%, -1.9), Con 415 (15.6%, -2.8). Swing of 14% from Ind to SNP since by-election in July.

Rogate Ward, Chichester DC. Con hold. Con 342 (71.3%, -19.8), UKIP 138 (28.7%, +28.7). Swing of 24.3% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Burnopfield & Dipton Division, Durham UA. Lab gain from Ind. Lab 656 (44.9%, +6.8), Ind 655 (44.8%, +3.5), Con 83 (5.7%, +5.7), Green 68 (4.7%, +4.7). Swing of 1.7% from Ind to Lab since 2013.

Evenwood Division, Durham UA. Lab hold. Lab 546 (38.2%, -7.8)
Con 396 (27.7%, -0.3), UKIP 309 (21.6%, -4.4), Ind 108 (7.5%, +7.5), Green 72 (5%, +5). Swing of 3.8% from Lab to Con since 2013.

Newnham & Westbury Ward, Forest of Dean DC. Ind hold. Ind 321 (38.5%, -1.6), Con 216 (25.9%, -4.9), UKIP 102 (12.2%, +12.2), Lab 100 (12%, -1), Green 70 (8.4%, -7.7), Lib Dem 25 (3%, +3). Swing of 1.7% from Con to Ind since 2011.

Mitcheldean Division, Gloucestershire CC. Con gain from Ind. Con 959 (38.4%, +14), UKIP 550 (22%, +2.7), Ind 455 (18.2%, -18.2), Lab 278 (11.1%, +0.8), LD 150 (6%, +0.6), Green 106 (4.2%, +0.4). Swing of 5.7% from UKIP to Con since 2013.

Haywards Heath Lucastes Ward, Mid Sussex DC. Con hold. Con 524 (56.4%, +4.9), UKIP 203 (21.9%, +15), LD 112 (12.1%, -12.3), Lab 90 (9.7%, +9.7). Swing of 5.1% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Folkestone Harvey West Ward, Shepway DC. Con hold. Con 385 (36.4%, -18.8), UKIP 293 (27.7%, +27.7), LD 262 (24.8%, +3.4), Green 61 (5.8%, +5.8), Lab 57 (5.4%, -18). Swing of 23.2% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Friday, October 17, 2014

Council by-elections

There were ten council by-elections yesterday. Note the successful defence against UKIP by Labour in the key Essex target parliamentary seat of Thurrock, the UKIP gain from the Tories in Kent (Sittingbourne & Sheppey parliamentary constituency), and the two Lib Dem gains.

Harper Green Ward, Bolton MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1176 (50.7%, -6), UKIP 777 (33.4%, +9.3), Con 282 (12.2%, +0.1), Green 38 (1.6%, -2.2), LD 28 (1.2%, -1.7), Ind 19 (0.8%, +0.8). Swing of 7.7% from Lab to UKIP since May this year.

Towyn Ward, Conwy UA. Con hold. Con 143 (25%), Ind 116 (20.2%), Ind 104 (18.2%), Lab 98 (17.1%), Ind  69 (12%), Ind 43 (7.5%). No swing calculable as uncontested in 2012.

Medworth Ward, Fenland DC. Con hold. Con 257 (44.6%, -14.5), UKIP 201 (34.9%, +34.9), Lab 79 (13.7%, -17.8), LD 24 (4.2%, -5.2), Ind 15 (2.6%, +2.6). Swing of 26.4% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Tudor Ward, LB Kingston-on-Thames. Con hold. Con 1062 (41%, +0.1), LD 725 (28%, +10.3), Lab 314 (12.1%, -2.1), UKIP 269 (10.4%, -1.1), Green 219 (8.5%, -7.4). Swing of 5.1% from Con to LD since May this year.

Helmshore Ward, Rossendale BC. Con hold. Con 771 (48.8%, -13.4), Lab 444 (28.1%, -9.7), UKIP 364 (23.1%, +23.1%). Swing of 1.9% from Con to Lab since May this year.

Oakham South West Ward, Rutland UA. Con hold. Con 240 (52.2%, +13.8), Ind 177 (38.5%, +0.8), LD 43 (9.3%, -14.7). Swing of 6.5% from Ind to Con since 2011.

Whissendine Ward, Rutland UA. LD gain from Ind. LD 192 (51.8%, +51.8), Con 179 (48.2%, +5.8). Swing not meaningful since 2011.

Sheppey Central Ward, Swale DC. UKIP gain from Con. UKIP 831 (58.4%, +42.7), Con 324 (22.8%, -21.2), Lab 240 (16.9%, -15.1), Loony 27 (1.9%, -6.4). Swing of 32% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

West Thurrock & South Stifford Ward, Thurrock UA. Lab hold. Lab 903 (50.3%, +3), UKIP 621 (34.6%, +0.5), Con 270 (15.1%, -0.2). Swing of 1.3% from UKIP to Lab since May this year.

Westfield Ward, York UA. LD gain from Lab. LD 1804 (60.2%, +25.6), Lab 588 (19.6%, -23.8), UKIP 398 (13.3%, +13.3), Con 113 (3.8%, -10), Green 87 (2.9%, -5.5), Eng Dem 5 (0.2%, +0.2). Swing of 24.7% from Lab to LD since 2011.

Friday, October 10, 2014

Council by-elections

As well as the two parliamentary by-elections there were five council by-elections yesterday, including a Labour gain in the key marginal seat of Crawley:

Waterloo Ward, Blackpool UA. Con hold. Con 406 (34.5%, -5.3), UKIP 372 (31.6%, +31.6) Lab 347 (29.5%, -17.5), LD 34 (2.9%, -10.3), BNP 17 (1.4%, +1.4). Swing of 18.5% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Bicknacre and East and West Hanningfield, Chelmsford BC. Con hold. Con 649 (56.1%, -15.6), UKIP 359 (31%, +31), Lab 80 (6.9%, -9.2), Green 35 (3%, +3), LD 34 (2.9%, -9.3). Swing of 23.3% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Southgate Ward, Crawley BC. Lab gain from Con who had defected to UKIP. Lab 733 (44.1%, +9), Con 642 (38.6%, +6.1), UKIP 277 (16.7%, -6.7),  Justice 10 (0.6%, +0.6). Swing of 1.5% from Con to Lab since May this year.

Brightlingsea Division, Essex CC. Con gain from UKIP. Con 1809 (33.7%, +9.1), UKIP 1642 (30.6%, +0.2), LD 1199 (22.3%, -4.6), Lab 524 (9.8%, -2.7), Green 200 (3.7%, +0.2). Swing of 4.5% from UKIP to Con since 2013.

West Heath Ward, Rushmoor BC. UKIP hold. UKIP 662 (50.9%, +4.3), Con 312 (24%, -5.4), Lab 196 (15.1%, -0.3), LD 132 (10%, +1.4). Swing of 4.9% from Con to UKIP since May this year.


Friday, October 03, 2014

Council by-elections

There were six council by-elections yesterday:

Llandaff North Ward, Cardiff CC. Lab hold. Lab 898 (50.1%, +2.7), Ind 419 (23.4%, +0.2), UKIP 204 (11.4%, +11.4), Con 136 (7.6%, +1.7), LD 134 (7.5%, -6.8). Swing of 1.3% from Ind to Lab since 2012.

Windermere Division, Cumbria CC. LD hold. LD 1061 (51.6%, -10.5), Con 810 (39.4%, +20.7), Ind 123 (6%, +6), Green 61 (3%, +3). Swing of 15.6% from LD to Con since 2013.

Windermere Town Ward, South Lakeland DC. LD hold. LD 416 (64%, -8.9), Con 184 (28.3%, +13.5), Green 50 (7.7%, +7.7). Swing of 11.2% from LD to Con since 2012.

Woodside Ward, LB Haringey. Lab hold. Lab 1331 (56.3%, -0.8), LD 482 (20.4%, +8.6), Green 191 (8.1%, -3.4), UKIP 161 (6.8%, -0.5), Con 140 (5.9%, -1.8), TUSC 35 (1.5%, -1.3), Ind 23 (1%, -0.7). Swing of 3.9% from Lab to LD since May this year.

Grange Park Ward, South Northamptonshire DC. Double by-election for two seats in same ward. 2 Con holds. Con 433, 313 (63.3%, -12.9), Lab 151 (22.1%, +22.1), UKIP 100, 84 (14.6%, +14.6). Swing of 17.5% from Con to Lab since 2012.

Westoe Ward, South Tyneside MBC. UKIP gain from Ind. UKIP 676 (40.9%, +2.9), Lab 625 (37.9%, -6.9), Con 219 (13.3%, -3.9), Green 90 (5.5%, +5.5), LD 41 (2.5%, +2.5). Swing of 4.9% from Lab to UKIP since May this year.

Friday, September 26, 2014

Council by-elections for last two weeks

18 September

Abergele Pensarm Ward, Conwy UA. Lab hold. Lab 160 (25.9%, -29.2), Ind 134 (21.7%, +21.7), UKIP 129 (20.9%, +20.9), Ind 74 (12%, -13.2), Ind 56 (9.1%, +9.1), Con 54 (8.8%, -10.9), Ind 10 (1.6%). Swing of 25.5% from Lab to Ind since 2012.

Crook Division, Durham UA. Lab gain from Ind. Lab 753 (46.8%, +6.5), UKIP 339 (21.1%, +21.1), LD 233 (14.5%, +6.6), Ind 193 (12%, -15), Con 90 (5.6%, +2.7). Swing of 7.3% from Lab to UKIP since 2013 by-election.

Quarry & Risinghurst Ward, Oxford CC. Lab hold. Lab 782 (42.3%, -1.3), LD 615 (33.3%, +7.8), Con 222 (12%, -7.2), Green 186 (10.1%, -1.7), Eng Dem 43 (2.3%, +2.3). Swing of 4.6% from Lab to LD since May this year.

25 September

Epping Hemnall Ward, Epping Forest DC. LD gain from Con. LD 607 (43.3%, +0.8), Con 386 (27.6%, +6.5), UKIP 339 (24.2%, -1.4), Green 69 (4.9%, +0.6). Swing of 2.9% from LD to Con since May this year.

Lovelace Ward, Guildford BC. LD gain from Con. LD 555 (63.4%, +49.1), Con 225 (25.7%, -45.3), UKIP 63 (7.2%, +7.2), Lab 32 (3.7%, -11). Swing of 47.2% from Con to LD since 2011.

Frome North Division, Somerset CC. Con gain from LD. Con 1111 (46.5%, +10.8), LD 836 (35%, -2.3), Lab 163 (6.8%, -3.9), Ind 139 (5.8%, +5.8), Green 139 (5.8%, +5.8). Swing of 6.6% from LD to Con since 2013.

Friday, September 12, 2014

Council by-elections

There were six council by-elections last night. Several of these were in Tory marginal parliamentary seats – Carlisle (Castle Ward which saw a small swing to the Tories compared to May), Sherwood (Ollerton Ward which saw a 6.1% swing to Labour since 2011) and Oxford West & Abingdon (Abingdon Dunmore Ward which saw a swing of 10.4% to the Lib Dems since 2011, this is one of a handful of seats they hope to gain against the tide in the General Election).

Castle Ward, Carlisle BC. Lab hold. Lab 364 (38.4%, +1.1), Con 212 (22.4%, +3.4), UKIP  208 (22%, -0.9),  LD 121 (12.8%, +1.9), Green 42 (4.4%, -3.1). Swing of 1.2% from Lab to Con since May this year.

Castle Division, Carlisle CC. Lab hold. Lab 389 (37.7%, -2.8), Con 245 (23.7%, +13.1), UKIP 235 (22.8%, +2.8), LD 112 (10.9%, -12.3), Green 51 (4.9%, +0.9). Swing of 8% from Lab to Con since 2013.

Collingham & Meering Ward, Newark & Sherwood DC. Con hold. Con 568 (41.2%, -33.8), Ind 476 (35.5%, +35.5), UKIP 218 (15.8%, +15.8), Lab 118 (8.6%, -16.4). Swing of 34.7% from Con to Ind since 2013 by-election.

Ollerton Ward, Newark & Sherwood DC. Lab 837 (58.1%, +7.5), Con 323 (22.4%, -4.6), UKIP 280 (19.4%, +19.4). Swing of 6.1% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Beckton Ward, LB Newham. Lab hold. Lab 1006 (51%, -7.8), Con 584 (29.6%, -4.1), UKIP 215 (10.9%, +10.9), Green 70 (3.5%, +3.5), LD 43 (2.2%, +2.2), Christian PA 33 (1.7%, -6.2), TUSC 21 (1.1%, +1.1). Swing of 1.9% from Lab to Con since May this year.

Abingdon Dunmore Ward, Vale of White Horse DC. LD hold. LD 745 (52.4%, +14.7), Con 501 (35.2%, -6.1), UKIP 90 (6.3%, +6.3), Lab 87 (6.1%, -4.7). Swing of 10.4% from Con to LD since 2011.

Friday, September 05, 2014

Council by-elections

Getting back on track with reporting council by-elections after a short break. The three yesterday saw two good Labour performances in the south (Oxford and Michael Gove’s Surrey Heath constituency) and a UKIP gain in Folkestone, one of their prime Kent parliamentary targets:

Carfax Ward, Oxford CC. Lab hold. Lab 168 (44.2%, +15.6), LD 101 (26.6%, +9), Green 63 (16.6%, -14.2), Con 24 (6.3%, -13.8), UKIP 24 (6.3%, +6.3). Swing of 3.3% from LD to Lab since May this year.

Folkestone Harvey Central Ward, Shepway DC. UKIP gain from Con. UKIP 287 (27.9%, +27.9), Con 224 (21.7%, -17.3), LD 198 (19.2%, +2.3), Lab 196 (19%, -9.1), Green 96 (9.3%, +9.3), TUSC 29% (2.8%, +2.8). Swing of 22.6% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Old Dean Ward, Surrey Heath DC. Lab hold. Lab 290 (44.6%, -5.6), Con 196 (29.8%, -0.5), UKIP 171 (26%, +14.3). Swing of 2.6% from Lab to Con since 2011.

 
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