A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, September 12, 2014

Council by-elections

There were six council by-elections last night. Several of these were in Tory marginal parliamentary seats – Carlisle (Castle Ward which saw a small swing to the Tories compared to May), Sherwood (Ollerton Ward which saw a 6.1% swing to Labour since 2011) and Oxford West & Abingdon (Abingdon Dunmore Ward which saw a swing of 10.4% to the Lib Dems since 2011, this is one of a handful of seats they hope to gain against the tide in the General Election).

Castle Ward, Carlisle BC. Lab hold. Lab 364 (38.4%, +1.1), Con 212 (22.4%, +3.4), UKIP  208 (22%, -0.9),  LD 121 (12.8%, +1.9), Green 42 (4.4%, -3.1). Swing of 1.2% from Lab to Con since May this year.

Castle Division, Carlisle CC. Lab hold. Lab 389 (37.7%, -2.8), Con 245 (23.7%, +13.1), UKIP 235 (22.8%, +2.8), LD 112 (10.9%, -12.3), Green 51 (4.9%, +0.9). Swing of 8% from Lab to Con since 2013.

Collingham & Meering Ward, Newark & Sherwood DC. Con hold. Con 568 (41.2%, -33.8), Ind 476 (35.5%, +35.5), UKIP 218 (15.8%, +15.8), Lab 118 (8.6%, -16.4). Swing of 34.7% from Con to Ind since 2013 by-election.

Ollerton Ward, Newark & Sherwood DC. Lab 837 (58.1%, +7.5), Con 323 (22.4%, -4.6), UKIP 280 (19.4%, +19.4). Swing of 6.1% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Beckton Ward, LB Newham. Lab hold. Lab 1006 (51%, -7.8), Con 584 (29.6%, -4.1), UKIP 215 (10.9%, +10.9), Green 70 (3.5%, +3.5), LD 43 (2.2%, +2.2), Christian PA 33 (1.7%, -6.2), TUSC 21 (1.1%, +1.1). Swing of 1.9% from Lab to Con since May this year.

Abingdon Dunmore Ward, Vale of White Horse DC. LD hold. LD 745 (52.4%, +14.7), Con 501 (35.2%, -6.1), UKIP 90 (6.3%, +6.3), Lab 87 (6.1%, -4.7). Swing of 10.4% from Con to LD since 2011.

Friday, September 05, 2014

Council by-elections

Getting back on track with reporting council by-elections after a short break. The three yesterday saw two good Labour performances in the south (Oxford and Michael Gove’s Surrey Heath constituency) and a UKIP gain in Folkestone, one of their prime Kent parliamentary targets:

Carfax Ward, Oxford CC. Lab hold. Lab 168 (44.2%, +15.6), LD 101 (26.6%, +9), Green 63 (16.6%, -14.2), Con 24 (6.3%, -13.8), UKIP 24 (6.3%, +6.3). Swing of 3.3% from LD to Lab since May this year.

Folkestone Harvey Central Ward, Shepway DC. UKIP gain from Con. UKIP 287 (27.9%, +27.9), Con 224 (21.7%, -17.3), LD 198 (19.2%, +2.3), Lab 196 (19%, -9.1), Green 96 (9.3%, +9.3), TUSC 29% (2.8%, +2.8). Swing of 22.6% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Old Dean Ward, Surrey Heath DC. Lab hold. Lab 290 (44.6%, -5.6), Con 196 (29.8%, -0.5), UKIP 171 (26%, +14.3). Swing of 2.6% from Lab to Con since 2011.

Friday, July 04, 2014

Council by-elections and deferred polls

Here are the results of the council by-elections and deferred polls since 22 May:

3 July

Wivenhoe Quay Ward, Colchester BC. Lab hold. Lab 857 (46.7%, -5.4), Con 629 (34.3%, +2.4), UKIP 129 (7%, +7), LD 127 (6.9%, n/c), Green 90 (4.9%, -4.2), Pat Soc 2 (0.1%, +0.1). Swing of 3.9% from Lab to Con since 2012.

St James Ward, Northampton BC. Lab hold. Lab 307 (31.7%, -2.9), LD 262 (27.1%, +9.9), UKIP 201 (20.8%, +20.8), Con 198 (20.5%, -11.4). Swing of 6.4% from Lab to LD since 2011.

Braunston & Crick Division, Northamptonshire CC. Con hold. Con 1019 (40.5%, +6.5), Lab 989 (39.3%, +9.5), UKIP 506 (20.1%, -11.3). Swing of 1.5% from Con to Lab since 2013.

Brixworth Division, Northamptonshire CC. Con hold.  Con 1297 (55.4%, +4.4),
UKIP 500 (21.3%, -3.7), Lab 248 (10.6%, -2.6), Green 228 (9.7%, +3), LD 69 (2.9%, -1.1). Swing of 4.1% from UKIP to Con since 2013.

Old Laund Booth Ward, Pendle BC. LD hold. LD 427 (58.3%, +9.8), Con 266 (36.3%, -10.9), UKIP 27 (3.7%, +3.7), Blue Party 13 (1.8%, +1.8). Swing of 10.4% from Con to LD since 2011.

Manningtree, Mistley, Little Bentley & Tendring Ward, Tendring DC. Con hold. Con 376 (46%, +4.3), LD 159 (19.4%, -16.6), UKIP 154 (18.8%, +18.8), Labour 129 (15.8%, +15.8). Swing of 10.5% from LD to Con since 2011.

Charlton Park Ward, Cheltenham BC. LD gain from Con. LD 861 (45.9%, -1)
Con 767 (40.9%, -12.1), UKIP 154 (8.2%, +8.2), Lab 46 (2.5%, +2.5), Green 46 (2.5%, +2.5).

Blackwall & Cubitt Town Ward, LB Tower Hamlets. New ward boundaries. 2 Lab, 1 Con. Lab 956, 875, 872 (31.8%), Con 877, 815, 762 (28.9%), Tower Hamlets First 744, 726, 713 (25.7%), UKIP 240, 190, 188 (7.3%), Green 110, 98, 74 (3.3%), LD 71, 68, 58 (2.3%), TUSC 11, 11 (0.4%), Ind 11 (0.4%). The previous ward with this name (on different boundaries) elected 3 Tory councillors in 2010.

2 July

Skipton West Ward, Craven DC. Lab gain from LD. Lab 185 (24%, +3),  LD 143 (18.5%, -18),  Con 131 (17%, -3.6), UKIP 126 (16.3%, +16.3), Ind 120 (15.5%, +15.5), Green 67 (8.7%, +8.7). This is the first Labour seat won on this council since 1996. Swing of 10.5% from LD to Lab since 2012.

Skipton West Division, North Yorkshire CC. Ind gain from LD. Ind 391 (23.4%, -0.2),  Con 355 (21.3%, +0.9),  LD 309 (18.5%, -10.1), UKIP 238 (14.3%, +14.3), Green 194 (11.6%, -4),  Lab 181 (10.9%, -0.9). Swing of 0.6% from Ind to Con since 2013.

26 June

Swanwick Ward, Amber Valley DC. Con hold. Con 474 (36.4%, -7), Lab 298 (22.9%, -2.2), Ind 252 (19.4%, -9.1), UKIP 245 (18.8%, +18.8), LD 32 (2.5%, +2.5). Swing of 2.4% from Con to Lab since 2011.

 Colindale Ward, LB Hendon. Lab holds X3. Lab 2190, 2088, 2015, (66.3%, +10.8) Con 501, 466, 420,  (15.2%, -4.9), UKIP 347, 309, 268, (10.5%, +10.5), LD 133, 90, 87, (4%, -14.6), Green 130, 114, 108 (3.9%, -1.8). Swing of 7.9% from Con to Lab since 2010.

19 June

Soham South Ward, East Cambridgeshire DC. Con gain from Ind. Con 363 (34.4%, -1.5), UKIP 201 (19.1%, +19.1), LD 191 (18.1%, -1), Ind 148 (14%, -14.8), Ind 80 (7.6%, +7.6), Lab 71 (6.7%, -9.4). Swing of 10.3% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Southam Ward, Stratford-on-Avon DC. Con hold. Con 493 (42.9%,  +2), Lab 398 (34.6%, +11.7), UKIP 259 (22.5%, -7). Swing of 4.9% from Con to Lab since May this year.

12 June

Sleaford Quarrington & Mareham Ward, North Kesteven DC.  Lincs Ind gain from Ind. Lincs Ind 527 (44.6%, +20.8), Con 477 (40.4%, +0.9), Ind 178 (15.1%, +15.1).  Swing of 10% from Con to Lincs Ind since 2011.

Sleaford Westholme Ward, North Kesteven DC. Lincs Ind gain from Ind. Lincs Ind 342 (68.5%, +68.5), Con 119 (23.8%, +3.3), Lab 38 (7.6%, +7.6). Swing not meaningful.

Collington Ward, Rother DC. Ind hold. Ind 570 (+41.9, -7.8), Con 378  (27.8%, -11.7), UKIP 311 (22.9%, +22.9), Lab 102 (7.5%, -3.3). Swing of 2% from Con to Ind since 2011.

5 June

Clydesdale South Ward, South Lanarkshire UA. Lab gain from SNP. First preference votes: Lab 1492 (40.8%, -2.8), SNP 1170 (32%, -9.7), Con 659 (18%, +7.5), UKIP 233 (6.4%, -2.1), Green 104 (2.8%, +2.8). Swing of 3.5% from SNP to Lab since 2012.

Labourlist columns

My recent Labourlist columns:










Friday, April 25, 2014

Council by-elections

There were 4 council by-elections on Thursday. The Cambridgeshire one seems to show huge Lab to LD tactical voting to beat the Tories:

Blackwood Ward, Caerphilly UA. Lab hold. Lab 620 (41%, -3.9), Ind 477 (31.5%, -2), PC 349 (23.1%, +6.9), Con 68 (4.5%, -2.8). Swing of 1% from Lab to Ind since 2012.

Sutton Ward, East Cambridgeshire DC. LD gain from Con. LD 523 (50.9%, +27), Con 280 (27.2%, -19.2), UKIP 162 (15.8%, +15.8), Lab 63 (6.1%, -23.6). Swing of 23.1% from Con to LD since 2011.

Horncastle Ward, East Lindsey DC. Con hold. Con 432 (38.4%, +4.3), Ind 353 (31.4%, +9.2), UKIP 339 (30.2%, +30.2). Swing of 2.5% from Con to Ind since 2011.

Osbournby Ward, North Kesteven DC. Con gain from Ind. Con 312 (49.7%, +19.3), Ind 269 (42.8%, -26.8), Lab 38 (6.1%, +6.1), LD 9 (1.4%, +1.4). Swing of 23.1% from Ind to Con since 2011.

Labourlist columns

My two most recent columns have been about:


Sunday, April 13, 2014

Council by-elections

There were four by-elections on Thursday (10 April). The Tories successfully defended marginals against Labour and the Lib Dems, whilst UKIP eroded Labour’s vote dramatically in Cumbria and North Wales:

Belle Vue Division, Cumbria CC. Lab hold. Lab 565 (45.8% -20.1), Con 435 (35.3%, +1.2), UKIP 234 (19% +19). Swing of 10.7% from Lab to Con since 2013.

Flint Trelawney Ward, Flintshire UA. Lab hold. Lab 350 (38.6%,  -17.9), UKIP 261 (28.8%, +28.8), Ind 242 (26.7%, -2.9), Con 54 (6%, +6). Swing of 23.4% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

Coal Aston Ward, North East Derbyshire DC. Con hold. Con 518 (46.3%, -3.3), Lab 409 (36.5%, -0.5), UKIP 193 (17.2%, +17.2). Swing of 1.4% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Wantage Charlton Ward, Vale of the White Horse DC. Con hold. Con 591 (41.9%, -5.3), LD 542 (38.4%, +2.5), Lab 155 (11%, -5.9), Green 124 (8.8%, +8.8). Swing of  3.9% from Con to LD since 2011.


There was also one by-election on 3 April:

Blacko & Higherford Ward, Pendle DC. Con hold. Con 370 (66.7%, -13.1), UKIP 86 (15.5%, +15.5), Lab 65 (11.7%, -8.5), LD 34 (6.1%, +6.1). Swing of 14.3% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Labourlist column(s)

Unusually I had three blog posts published this week on Labourlist:

On Labour's prospects in the May elections: http://labourlist.org/2014/04/labours-prospects-this-may/


Friday, March 28, 2014

Council by-elections

There were six council by-elections yesterday. Labour had a good night, winning seats in split wards in marginal Dartford (Kent) and Gedling (Nottinghamshire). There were some very strong UKIP performances, with results near to 30% in  areas as diverse as the Dartford ward and Sunderland.

Stone Ward, Dartford BC.  Lab hold. Lab 426 (37.7%, -3.8), Con 397 (35.1%, -11.1), UKIP 307 (27.2%, +27.2). Swing of 3.7% from Con to Lab since 2011. Impressive result for Labour given this was a split ward with both Tory and Labour councillors in 2011.

Kilmarnock North Ward, East Ayrshire UA. SNP hold. First preference votes: SNP 1334 (45.1%, -7.6), Lab 1130 (38.2%, +2.6), Con 430 (14.6%, +2.9), Green 61 (2.1%, +2.1). Swing of 5.1% from SNP to Lab since 2012.

St John’s Ward, Fylde DC. Ratepayers hold. Ratepayers 804 (65.7%, +28.6), Con 205 (16.7%, -23.9), UKIP 100 (8.2%, +8.2), LD 62 (5.1%, -17.3), Green 53 (4.3%, +4.3). Swing of 26.3% from Con to Ratepayers since 2011. 

Gedling Ward, Gedling BC. Lab gain from LD. Lab 482 (32.6%, -1.8), LD 428 (28.9%, -2.7), UKIP 337 (22.8%, +22.8), Con 233 (15.7%, -12.6). Swing of 0.5% from LD to Lab since 2011.

Chalgrove & Watlington Division, Oxfordshire CC. Con hold. Con 871 (41.8, -16), LD 629 (30.2%, +12.4), UKIP 311(14.9%, +3), Lab 159 (7.6%, -5), Green 116 (5.6%, +5.6). Swing of 14.2% from Con to LD since 2013.

St Anne’s Ward, Sunderland MBC. Lab hold. Lab 945 (48.1%, -24), UKIP 555 (28.2%, +28.2), Con 345 (17.6%, +3.6), Green 120 (6.1%, -5). Swing of 26.1% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Labourlist column

My Labourlist column responds to that letter in the Guardian: http://labourlist.org/2014/03/why-yesterdays-letter-to-the-guardian-was-a-mistake/

 
Free Hit Counters
OfficeDepot Discount