Lib Dem support by region

From MORI:
http://www.ipsos-mori.com/newsevents/latestnews/605/Liberal-Democrat-support-dropping-dramatically-in-some-regions.aspx

Party support by region - based on aggregate of polling data since June, so not capturing fully the recent acceleration of LD decline.

Ben Page, CEO, Ipsos MORI is quoted saying:

“It is traditional for Lib Dems to drop in the polls outside of election campaigns, this is usually down to a lack of media exposure. But now they’re in government – and making headlines, albeit negative ones and their support has still fallen. Especially interesting is the drop in the Lib Dem stronghold of the South West and to just 4% in the North East.”

LD to Lab swing since General Election - showing seats that would be gained on this swing (on current boundaries and electoral system):

North East 19% (Redcar)
South West 16% (Bristol W)
London 11% (Brent C, Hornsey & Wood Green, Bermondsey & OS)
Eastern 8.5% (Norwich S, Cambridge)
North West 8% (Manchester Withington, Burnley)
Yorkshire 6% (Bradford E)
Wales 5%
East Midlands 4.5%
South East 4.5%
West Midlands 2.5%
Scotland 1%

Con/Lab swing since GE:

North East 9.5% Con to Lab (delivering only 1 seat)
Eastern 9% Con to Lab (delivering 11 seats)
North West 5% Con to Lab (delivering 11 seats)
London 4.5% Con to Lab (delivering 6 seats)
South West 4.5% Con to Lab (delivering 6 seats)
Wales 4% Con to Lab (delivering 1 seat)
South East 3.5% Con to Lab (delivering 3 seats)
Yorkshire 1.5% Con to Lab (delivering 1 seat)
East Midlands 1.5% Lab to Con (1 seat lost)
West Midlands 1.5% Lab to Con (3 seats lost)
Scotland 2.5% Lab to Con (no seat implications)

LD to Con swing since GE:
South West 11.5% (12 Tory gains)
North East 10.5% (1 Tory gain)
London 6.5% (2 Tory gains)
East Midlands 6% (no seat implications)
Yorkshire 4.5% (no seat implications)
West Midlands 4% (1 Tory gain)
Scotland 3.5% (no seat implications)
North West 3% (no seat implications)
South East 1% (no seat implications)
Wales 1% (no seat implications)
Eastern 0.5% from Con to LD (no seat implications)

Lab to Plaid Cymru swing of 1.5% (no seat implications)

Lab to SNP swing of 2% (no seat implications)

What I'm taking from this is Labour needs to focus on the Midlands where our recovery has been slow, and that the LD collapse will help us more in terms of delivering Tory seats to us than it will Lib Dem seats (there are too few of them where we are second).