A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, September 15, 2006

Is the Labour Party its own worst enemy?

Back in March/April David Cameron's poll honeymoon was wearing off to such an extent that some Tories were muttering about ditching him as leader. Then Labour imploded with the Prescott/Clarke/Hewitt triple whammy which turned what might have been reasonable local election results into a rout.

It looks like we've done it again. The attempt by round-robin letters to get Blair to resign was of course predicated on him being allegedly such an electoral liability that only an immediate change of leader could rescue us. Except that the poll taken immediately before all the letter writing (31 Aug to 6 Sept) - and sat on by MORI until revealed by politicalbetting.com yesterday actually had Labour 1% ahead of the Tories (CON 35%(-1): LAB 36% (+4): LD 19% (-5)).

Maybe the problem with Labour's popularity is not Blair or his policies but the perception that we are all more interested in the timing of an internal election and who will win it than we are in getting on with implementing the manifesto we were elected on less than 18 months ago.


Blogger Dave said...

Or - alternative explanation - Labour's poll rating has been boosted BECAUSE THAT BASTARD BLAIR IS FINALLY GOING. Hooray!

2:23 pm, September 15, 2006

Blogger Luke Akehurst said...

Dave that might make sense if the poll had been taken after the events of last week, but most of the fieldwork was done before "letter gate". The polls taken since then have seen the Tory lead go up.

2:54 pm, September 15, 2006


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