A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Ireland opinion poll update

Next year's Irish general election looks like it could lead to a change of government, according to the latest polls.

September's Red C poll confirms that the potential alternative Labour/Fine Gael coalition is making slow but steady progress and that Fianna Fail has lost about 20% of its 2002 support.

The September numbers ( http://www.redcresearch.ie/results.html) are:

Fianna Fail - 33% (down from 41.5% in 2002)
Fine Gael - 25% (up from 22.5%)
Labour - 14% (up from 10.8%)
Independents - 9% (down from 9.5%)
Sinn Fein - 8% (up from 6.5%)
Greens - 7% (up from 3.8%)
Progressive Democrats - 4% (unchanged)

This would see Fianna Fail fall below 60 seats in the 166 seat Dail, down from 81 in 2002.

2 Comments:

Blogger Paulie said...

Luke,

The consensus among the chattering classes of Dublin 4 is still that Bertie's troubles will all be forgotten by the time he goes to the country and FF will scrape through.

I have to say, you'd be a fool to bet against The Canny Dub, whatever you think about him.

11:52 am, October 05, 2006

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It would be really nice to see a Labour/FF coalition.

Irish Labour have the best Logo... we should pinch it. and maybe get rid of the green.

3:49 pm, October 05, 2006

 

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