A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Sunday, June 24, 2007

Stats

The internals of our 6 round 3 part electoral college:

1st round: MPs, Members, Unions, Total
Benn 4.26, 7.21, 4.93 T:16.4
Blears 4.99, 3, 3.77 T: 11.77
Cruddas 4.63, 5.67,9.09 T 19.39
Hain 4.81, 3.87, 6.64, T:15.32
Harman: 6.54,8.04,4.35 T;18.93
Johnson 8.08, 5.53, 4.55 T:18.16

So:
Most popular with MPs was Johnson, 2nd was Harman, 3rd was Blears
Most popular with members was Harman, 2nd was Benn, 3rd was Cruddas
Most popular with affilates was Cruddas, 2nd was Hain, 3rd was Benn

Right/left split (counting Benn, Johnson, Blears as right)
MPs: 17.33 vs 15.98
Members: 15.74 vs 17.58
Affiliates: 13.25 vs 20.08

Final round even stranger:

Harman 15.42 18.83 16.18 50.43
Johnson 17.91 14.5 17.15 49.56

Johnson won in 2 sections - affilates and MPs, but still lost.

It was the Cruddas transfers from Amicus and TGWU wot won it.

As the gossip from the count is that the union members polled heavily the way they were advised to by their executives the internal party political priority for the long term is to get the unions back to being what they historically have been - the bastion of the right of the party. If we don't ensure the successors to the current generation of General Secretaries when they retire are from the moderate wing of the party we'll end up in a decade's time with Brown's successor in a contested election being from the left.

8 Comments:

Blogger E10 Rifle said...

"If we don't ensure the successors to the current generation of General Secretaries when they retire are from the moderate wing of the party we'll end up in a decade's time with Brown's successor in a contested election being from the left."

God, heaven forbid there might be a democratic contest eh Luke?

As usual, there appears a notable absence of analysis as to WHY union leaders no longer follow their "historic role" as being on the right of the party. Care to offer some? It's an awful pain isn't it when trade union members don't do as they're told.

5:06 pm, June 24, 2007

 
Blogger Owen said...

You're correct that Benn is on the right - but so many leftwingers voted for him it's problematic to subsume him into a right bloc.

5:11 pm, June 24, 2007

 
Blogger Doctor Dunc said...

I voted Benn, Luke - and I know quite a lot of other firm left-wingers who did the same. So it's even worse than you think, Luke!!!

6:24 pm, June 24, 2007

 
Anonymous Dan said...

... and Cruddas, to some extent, and Harman to a much greater extent, attracted support from the right. So it's difficult to draw any conclusions.

6:56 pm, June 24, 2007

 
Anonymous Paul Leake said...

God forbid that people may actually base their decisions on General Secretaries / NEC members on whether they'd do a good job for their union members rather than how they fit into Labour Party faction fighting...

11:25 pm, June 24, 2007

 
Blogger Chris Paul said...

Do you mean "from the left" as in Cruddas or Harman? Or shock horror an emergent power lefty? At ten years distance I predict it will be a woman. And a woman to the left of Luke.

Btw The Trade Unions are appalling guilty of betting on the winner and make comments at selections like "we must back the winner to maintain some leverage". Tossers. They are supposed to lead and represent the class not bet on the winner.

10:34 am, June 25, 2007

 
Anonymous Jim said...

Absolutely Chris Paul. Billy Hayes has egg all over his face. What an idiot. I hope Jon Cruddas is laughing his head off!

2:55 pm, June 25, 2007

 
Blogger Unity said...

Luke:

Cruddas's union/affiliates section vote actually split near enough 50-50 between Johnson and Harman in the final round.

What did swing Harman's way was the MP/MEPs section, where the Cruddas vote went 2:1 to her.

11:16 pm, June 25, 2007

 

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