A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, February 22, 2008

Council by-election results

Last night's council by-election results:

Princes Ward, Dartford. Labour hold with a small net swing from Con to Lab. Good result in one of the key North Kent parliamentary marginals.

Oakley Vale Ward, Corby. Con hold with a 4.5% swing from Lab. Again in a parliamentary marginal.

Fortune Green Ward, Camden. LD hold with a swing to them from their Tory coalition partners, largely achieved by squeezing the Green vote. Labour vote stable. This is a safe LD ward in the new 3-way parliamentary marginal of Hampstead & Kilburn.

Highland Ward, Perth & Kinross. SNP hold with swing to second place Tories.

Earlier in the week control of Southampton City Council changed hands to a Labour/LD administration after the Tories failed to get their budget through.


Anonymous Paul Smith said...


The elections you have featured each week don't seem to have shown the swing to tories in national polls. Any ideas what is going on?

9:30 pm, February 24, 2008

Blogger Luke Akehurst said...

There isn't a swing to the Tories in the national polls since the local elections last May. Looking at the polls taken just b4 last May's elections:

YouGov - Tory lead in May 6%, Tory lead now 6%.
IpsosMORI - Tory lead in May 4%, Labour lead now 1%.
Populus - Tory lead in May 8%, now 9%
ICM - Tory lead in May 7%, now 3%
ConRes - Tory lead in May 9%, now 8%

i.e. swing to Labour in 2 cases, virtually unchanged in the other 3.

7:59 am, February 25, 2008


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