A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Monday, June 02, 2008

More London election stats

Well done to contributers on http://www.vote-2007.co.uk/index.php?topic=1586.870 for doing a whole host of list of facts and figures about the ward level results on May 1st, starting with this map:



Other interesting stuff (Hackney stats highlighted for my local readers) - mainly posted by Westminster Labour Councillor David Boothroyd:

Top ten best percentage wards for Boris Johnson (Conservative):

1. Stanley, Kensington and Chelsea: 79.96

2. Royal Hospital, Kensington and Chelsea: 79.68

3. Knightsbridge and Belgravia, Westminster: 78.59

4. Hans Town, Kensington and Chelsea: 77.70

5. Queen's Gate, Kensington and Chelsea: 74.85

6. Redcliffe, Kensington and Chelsea: 74.25

7. Brompton, Kensington and Chelsea: 73.85

8. Blendon and Penhill, Bexley: 72.50

9. Darwin, Bromley: 72.06

10. Village, Merton: 71.95

Bottom ten:

1. Coldharbour, Lambeth: 12.53

2. Clissold, Hackney: 13.03

3. Hackney Downs, Hackney: 13.77

4. East Ham North, Newham: 14.15

5. Stoke Newington Central, Hackney: 14.44

6. Green Street West, Newham: 14.44

7. Dalston, Hackney: 14.57

8. Chatham, Hackney: 14.73

9. Leabridge, Hackney: 14.94

10. Bethnal Green South, Tower Hamlets: 15.06

Top ten best percentage wards for Ken Livingstone (Lab):

1. East Ham North, Newham: 73.42

2. Green Street West, Newham: 70.92

3. Southall Broadway, Ealing: 69.77

4. Green Street East, Newham: 68.94

5. Spitalfields and Banglatown, Tower Hamlets: 68.37

6. Bromley-by-Bow, Tower Hamlets: 68.15

7. Whitechapel, Tower Hamlets: 68.13

8. Bethnal Green South, Tower Hamlets: 68.04

9. Coldharbour, Lambeth: 68.02

10. Manor Park, Newham: 67.49

Top ten highest percentage votes for Brian Paddick (L Dem):

1. The Wrythe, Sutton: 20.02

2. Wandle Valley, Sutton: 19.43

3. St. Marks, Kingston-upon-Thames: 19.28

4. Wallington North, Sutton: 18.18

5. St. Helier, Sutton: 18.04

6. Cann Hall, Waltham Forest: 17.72

7. Sutton Central, Sutton: 17.68

8. Heathfield, Richmond-upon-Thames: 17.41

9. Sutton South, Sutton: 17.32

10. West Twickenham, Richmond-upon-Thames: 17.13

Top ten highest votes for Sian Berry (Green Party):

1. Highgate, Camden: 10.68

2. Brockley, Lewisham: 9.66

3. Clissold, Hackney: 9.35

4. Stoke Newington Central, Hackney: 8.74

5. Kentish Town, Camden: 8.67

6. Ladywell, Lewisham: 8.61

7. Dalston, Hackney: 8.21

8. Hackney Downs, Hackney: 7.76

9. Highbury West, Islington: 7.66

10. Brownswood, Hackney: 7.57

Top ten highest ward votes for Richard Barnbrook (British National Party):

1. Goresbrook, Barking and Dagenham: 20.16

2. Mayesbrook, Barking and Dagenham: 19.64

3. Parsloes, Barking and Dagenham: 19.50

4. Albion, Barking and Dagenham: 19.42

5. Heath, Barking and Dagenham: 17.10

6. Thames, Barking and Dagenham: 16.99

7. River, Barking and Dagenham: 16.67

8. Valence, Barking and Dagenham: 16.51

9. Gooshays, Havering: 16.40

10. Village, Barking and Dagenham: 16.37

Top ten ward % results for Lindsey German (Left List):

1. West Green, Haringey: 4.87

2. St. Pancras and Somers Town, Camden: 4.12

3. White Hart Lane, Haringey: 3.65

4. Northumberland Park, Haringey: 3.11

5. Leabridge, Hackney: 3.01

6. Tottenham Green, Haringey: 2.74

7. Edmonton Green, Enfield: 2.70

8. Tottenham Hale, Haringey: 2.68

9. Golborne, Kensington and Chelsea: 2.49

10. King's Cross, Camden: 2.40

Johnson won 334 wards, Livingstone 293 (including the three polling districts of the City of London, which went two to Johnson, one to Livingstone).

Brian Paddick did not beat either Ken Livingstone or Boris Johnson in any ward. In 48 wards, Richard Barnbrook (BNP) beat Brian Paddick, and in a further two they were tied.In three wards, Alan Craig (Christian Choice) beat Brian Paddick: Canning Town North, Canning Town South, and Custom House, all in Newham.In two wards, Sian Berry (Green Party) beat Brian Paddick: Stoke Newington Central (by 17 votes) and Hackney Downs (by 5 votes) both in Hackney. In Clissold (Hackney) Sian Berry was only three votes behind Brian Paddick (272 to 269).

Top ten greatest % leads for Johnson over Livingstone:

1. Royal Hospital, Kensington and Chelsea: 69.08

2. Stanley, Kensington and Chelsea: 68.73

3. Knightsbridge and Belgravia, Westminster: 65.78

4. Hans Town, Kensington and Chelsea: 65.59

5. Blendon and Penhill, Bexley: 60.25

6. Queen's Gate, Kensington and Chelsea: 59.97

7. Darwin, Bromley: 59.53

8. Redcliffe, Kensington and Chelsea: 59.53

9. Biggin Hill, Bromley: 59.38

10. Brompton, Kensington and Chelsea: 58.88

Top ten greatest % leads for Livingstone over Johnson

1. East Ham North, Newham: 59.27

2. Green Street West, Newham: 56.47

3. Coldharbour, Lambeth: 55.50

4. Bethnal Green South, Tower Hamlets: 52.98

5. Spitalfields and Banglatown, Tower Hamlets: 52.77

6. Green Street East, Newham: 52.05

7. Bromley-by-Bow, Tower Hamlets: 51.92

8. Southall Broadway, Ealing: 51.54

9. Manor Park, Newham: 51.30

10. Hackney Downs, Hackney: 51.30

The number of valid second preferences cast, as a proportion of valid first preferences. (In other words, where a voter actually used their second preference, rather than spoiling or leaving it blank)

1. Brownswood, Hackney: 89.46

2. Crouch End, Haringey: 88.96

3. Surrey Docks, Southwark: 88.88

4. Mayesbrook, Barking and Dagenham: 88.64

5. Forest Hill, Lewisham: 88.62

6. Clissold, Hackney: 88.50

7. Grove, Kingston-upon-Thames: 88.37

8. Stroud Green, Haringey: 88.35

9. Greenwich West, Greenwich: 88.08

10. Church End, Redbridge: 88.00

Top ten improvements in the Conservative vote from 2004:

1. East Wickham, Bexley: +31.96

2. Falconwood and Welling, Bexley: +31.49

3. Biggin Hill, Bromley: +30.79

4. Orpington, Bromley: +30.13

5. Blackfen and Lamorbey, Bexley: +30.03

6. Cray Valley West, Bromley: +29.89

7. Farnborough Common and Crofton, Bromley: +29.53

8. Blendon and Penhill, Bexley: +29.52

9. St. Michael's, Bexley: +28.67

10. Mottingham and Chislehurst North, Bromley: +28.61

Top ten increases in Livingstone's vote compared to 2004:

1. Spitalfields and Banglatown, Tower Hamlets: +38.77

2. Whitechapel, Tower Hamlets: +36.27

3. St. Dunstan's and Stepney Green, Tower Hamlets: +35.77

4. Bromley-by-Bow, Tower Hamlets: +35.44

5. Bethnal Green South, Tower Hamlets: +34.03

6. Shadwell, Tower Hamlets: +33.94

7. Mile End East, Tower Hamlets: +32.16

8. Green Street West, Newham: +31.48

9. East Ham North, Newham: +30.79

10. Bethnal Green North, Tower Hamlets: +27.81

There were only eight wards in which Brian Paddick improved on Simon Hughes' vote from 2004:

1. Chatham, Hackney: +1.95 (My council ward. Oh dear!)

2. Brixton Hill, Lambeth: +1.38

3. Harringay, Haringey: +0.91

4. Bruce Grove, Haringey: +0.63

5. Clissold, Hackney: +0.34

6. Noel Park, Haringey: +0.16#

7. St. Ann's, Haringey: +0.12

8. Hackney Central, Hackney: +0.10

Top ten wards where Green Sian Berry improved most on Darren Johnson's vote:

1. Highgate, Camden: +4.85

2. Kentish Town, Camden: +2.49

3. Thurlow Park, Lambeth: +2.38

4. Cantelowes, Camden: +2.23

5. Stoke Newington Central, Hackney: +2.21

6. Crofton Park, Lewisham: +2.12

7. Dalston, Hackney: +2.00

8. Bounds Green, Haringey: +1.94

9. De Beauvoir, Hackney: +1.91

10. Forest Hill, Lewisham: +1.88

8 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

In Haringey the Lib dems abandoned Brian Paddick to his fate - possibly because he'd fallen out with Lynne Featherstone in such a big way. Hence the Lib Dems did quite well in the GLA elections in Haringey but very badly in the mayoral elections.

3:30 pm, June 03, 2008

 
Anonymous Albert Shanker said...

The Camden Lib Dems are totally at a loss the explain why they had such an awful showing in the borough. Hampstead and Kilburn is now very much a Tory / Labour fight.

Would be interesting to see ward by ward list findings.

On that evidence the leader of the council would have lost his seat and the Liberals forced into third place.

3:35 pm, June 03, 2008

 
Blogger Luke Akehurst said...

They are on the London Elects website.

3:44 pm, June 03, 2008

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Have a look at the analysis on Crosby's doughnut strategy at http://forgesianthinking.wordpress.com

8:49 pm, June 03, 2008

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Luke

do you have figures on turnouts top and bottom ten and which candidate they supported?

Paul Smith
Interested of Bristol

10:21 pm, June 03, 2008

 
Blogger David Boothroyd said...

Unfortunately no accurate electorate statistics for 1 May 2008 yet. If you look in the London list thread there are some more interesting statistics there - see this link and scroll through succeeding pages.

12:49 am, June 04, 2008

 
Anonymous Andrea said...

"On that evidence the leader of the council would have lost his seat and the Liberals forced into third place."

West Hampstead (excluding postal votes):

Mayor:
Ken 1413 votes Boris 1010 Paddick 419 Berry 174

GLA list:

Lab 913 Con 782 LD 559 Green 478

GLA constituency:

Gavron 988 Coleman 828 Russell 627 Dunn 421

5:44 pm, June 04, 2008

 
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1:41 am, August 07, 2008

 

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