A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, October 02, 2009

Council By-elections

Last night's results. Labour holds in a series of seats we were defending, generally appalling results for the Tories and a string of stunningly good ones for the LDs.

Crompton Ward, Bolton MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1528 (47.4%, -2.6), Con 935 (29%, +1), Ind 377 (11.7%, +11.7), LD 284 (8.8%, -13.2), Green 99 (3.1%, +3.1). Swing of 1.8% from Lab to Con since 2008. This is in Bolton NE, number 93 on the Tory parliamentary target list.

Wroxham Ward, Broadland DC. LD gain from Ind. LD 960 (62.5%, +54.4), Con 346 (22.5%, -18.9), UKIP 134 (8.7%, +8.7), Green 50 (3.3%, -4.6), Lab 46 (3%, -0.8). Swing of 36.7% from Con to LD since 2007. The new Broadland parliamentary seat is a Tory defensive marginal vs. the LDs.

Allestree Ward, Derby City Council. Con hold. Con 1988 (52.3%, -10.4), LD 1037 (27.3%, +15), Lab 532 (14.0%, -0.3), BNP 242 (6.4%, -4.5). Swing of 12.7% from Con to LD since 2008. This ward is in Derby North which is a three-way Labour defensive marginal - number 130 on the Tory target list and number 30 for the LDs.

Doon Valley Ward, East Ayrshire Council. Lab gain from Ind. Lab 1221 (50.5%, +1.5), SNP 891 (36.9%, +10.9), Con 176 (7.3%, -1.1), Ind 84 (3.5%, -13.1), Ind 44 (1.8%, +1.8). Swing of 4.7% from Lab to SNP since 2007.

Northfield Ward, Kettering BC. Lab hold. Lab 265 (37.9%, -17.6), Con 258 (36.9%, -7.6), LD 80 (11.4%, +11.4), BNP 58 (8.3%, +8.3), English Democrat 39 (5.6%, +5.6). Swing of 5% from Lab to Con since 2007. Kettering is a Tory parliamentary seat by a notional majority of just 108.

Fant Ward, Maidstone BC. LD hold in a ward the Tories won in 2008. LD 702 (46.4%, +18.8), Con 393 (26%, -7.3), Green 317 (20.9%, +4.9), Lab 102 (6.7%, -16.4). Swing of 13.1% from Con to LD since 2008.

Walsingham Ward, North Norfolk DC. LD gain from Ind. LD 389 (58.1%, +32.5), Con 237 (35.4%, +35.4), Lab 43 (6.4%, +6.4). Swing of 1.5% from LD to Con since 2007. As with Wroxham this ward is in the new Broadland parliamentary seat.

Fishwick Ward, Preston BC. Lab hold. Lab 656 (55.7%, +13.2), Con 283 (24.0%, +3.9), LD 239 (20.3%, +1.3). Swing of 4.7% from Con to Lab since 2008.

Wednesbury South Ward, Sandwell MBC. Lab hold in a ward the Tories won in 2008. Lab 1006 (45.1%, +6.5), Con 946 (42.4%, +1.6), LD 168 (7.5%, +7.5), Green 109 (4.9%, -0.2). Swing of 2.5% from Con to Lab since 2008.

Laleham & Shepperton Green Ward, Spelthorne BC. Con hold. Con 814 (42.2%, -16.2), LD 742 (38.5%, +13.4), UKIP 154 (8%, +8), Ind 142 (7.4%, +7.4), Lab 77 (4%, -12.5). Swing of 14.8% from Con to LD since 2007.

Droitwich SW Ward, Wychavon DC. LD gain from Con. LD 521 (47.4%, +6.2), Con 416 (37.8%, -4.3), Lab 163 (14.8%, +14.8). Swing of 5.3% from Con to LD since 2007.

6 Comments:

Anonymous Shug said...

'Generally appalling results for the Tories!'

Yahoo!

That's what we want to hear! Stick that in your bicycle pump, 'Lord Gaga' Cameron!

You're DEAD and you know it!

2:22 pm, October 02, 2009

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

good to see that you were well enough to attend and speak at conference. I was there Monday and Tuesday and had an opportunity to see at first hand just how low morale is in the party. I had dinner with a Labour MP on Monday who was returning to his constituency that evening and not planning to watch Brown's last speech to conference as leader. Reminded me very much of Bournemouth 96 for the Tories, which I also had the misfortune to attend.

I never quite understand the point you are trying to make with these council by-election results. Appalling results for the Tories... OK. They are meaningless, as were the Euro election results when the Tories 'won' under Hague.

9:08 pm, October 02, 2009

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Droitwich result saw a massive increase in the Labour vote. 14.8%!
I put it down to the excellent local candidate Paul Richards.
Great that he can find time to write articles for Progress and also fight a grassroots campaign as a local candidate.
I've heard several people tip him as a future Prime Minister!

9:09 pm, October 02, 2009

 
Anonymous Enoch said...

'Generally appalling results for the Tories!"

Maybe it's mental hospital you need Luke

5:44 pm, October 03, 2009

 
Blogger Merseymike said...

I'm sceptical about how much you can transfer these results to that of the general Election, but certainly the Tory vote is well below what they should be getting given their poll lead

2:10 am, October 05, 2009

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Re, the Allestree ward Derby City result... this ward has been moved into the new consituency of Mid-Derbyshire...nailed on to go to the Tories.

1:59 pm, October 23, 2009

 

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