A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Council by-elections

Reaction to the PBR seems to be good if tonight's by-election results are anything to go by - four Labour gains, in Dorset, Wyre Forest, Nuneaton and Hampshire, and big swings to Labour in the Hastings & Rye and Westminster North parliamentary marginals. The net gain of four seats for Labour in one night compares to a net gain of five for us in the whole of the rest of 2009.

Kingsbrook Ward, Bedford UA. LD hold. LD 660 (49.3%, +3), Lab 370 (27.7%, +3.6), Con 150 (11.2%, -9.2), Ind 85 (6.4%, +6.4), Ind 73 (5.5%, +5.5). Swing of 0.3% from LD to Lab since May this year. Tory vote nearly halved in a Labour marginal parliamentary seat.

Bearsden South Ward, East Dunbartonshire Council. LD gain from Con. First preferences: LD 1770 (36.4%, +10), Con 1499 (30.8%, +6.4), SNP 972 (20%, +0.9), Lab 626 (12.9%, -6.4). Swing of 1.8% from Con to LD since 2007.

St Helens Ward, Hastings BC. Con hold. Con 609 (40.7%, -17.7), Lab 550 (36.7%, +12.5), LD 210 (14.0%, -3.2), BNP 93 (6.2%, +6.2), Eng Dem 36 (2.4%, +2.4). Swing of 15.1% from Con to Lab since 2008. This is in a parliamentary marginal.

Camp Hill Ward, Nuneaton & Bedworth BC. Lab gain from BNP. Lab 670 (47.1%. +17), BNP 478 (33.6%, -2.6), Con 275 (19.3%, -9.7). Swing of 9.8% from BNP to Lab since 2008. This is a Tory target parliamentary seat.

West Ward, Peterborough UA. Con hold. Con 1252 (58.4%, +4.1), Lab 341 (15.9%, +0.9), LD 224 (10.4%, +7.4), UKIP 177 (8.3%, +8.3), Eng Dem 93 (4.3%, +4.3), Green 58 (2.7%, -0.5). Swing of 1.6% from Lab to Con since 2008.

Heron Wood Ward, Rushmoor DC. Lab gain from LD. Lab 437 (41.6%, +11.6), LD 354 (33.7%, -8.1), Con 259 (24.7%, -3.5). Swing of 9.9% from LD to Lab since 2008. This is the council estate bit of Aldershot, where I had the honour of being parliamentary candidate in 2001. Well done to Keith Dibble and his Labour team on regaining this seat.

Tavistock South Ward, West Devon BC. LD gain from Con. LD 523 (45.8%, +30), Con 450 (39.4%, +6.2), Ind 170 (14.9%, -36.1). Swing of 11.9% from Con to LD since 2007.

Queens Park Ward, LB Westminster. Lab hold. Lab 814 (62.6%. +10.6), Con 211 (16.2%, -14.4), Green 152 (11.7%, +11.7), LD 123 (9.5%, -7.9). Swing of 12.5% from Con to Lab since 2006. This is in a parliamentary marginal.

Wyke Regis Ward, Weymouth & Portland BC. Lab gain from Con. Lab 579 (40.1%, +3.9), Con 486 (33.7%, -30.1), LD 268 (18.6%, +18.6), Citizens 111 (7.7%, +7.7). Swing of 17% from Con to Lab since 2008. This is in ultra marginal South Dorset.

Areley Kings Ward, Wyre Forest DC. Lab gain from Con. Lab 540 (38.1%, +5.3), KHCC 421 (29.7%, +0.5), Con 394 (27.8%, -7.4), UKIP 63 (4.4%, +4.4). Swing of 2.4% from KHCC to Lab since 2008. This is in a Tory parliamentary target.


Anonymous Rt Hon Cedric Smythe-Featherstonehaugh said...

Congrats old boy. A set of encouraging results for you AND the chance to travel by bus for free. Things are looking up, aren't they?

3:18 am, December 11, 2009

Anonymous theinnocentone said...

Great article!

4:27 am, December 11, 2009

Blogger David Boothroyd said...

I understand there is a fourth Labour gain in Areley Kings ward, Wyre Forest BC: Lab 540, KHCC 421, C 394, UKIP 63. Congrats to Jamie Shaw and the campaign team in Stourport.

10:26 am, December 11, 2009

Blogger tonypbjarrett said...

All very encouraging.

Not so long ago the Tories were saying that local government results were going their way, contrary to the national opinion poll movements.

#GameON as tweeted elsewhere.

10:43 am, December 11, 2009

Blogger Colm said...

I think it is important to note the fight back against the BNP too. The media narrative has been of an inexorable rise of the far right, but they are being pushed back in ward after ward by committed Labour and anti fascist activism.

11:33 am, December 11, 2009

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Also last night - following on from what Colm wrote - a crushing defeat for the BNP in Cumbria; betaen 4 to 1 by Labour in an election to Dalton-in-Furness TC.


1:15 pm, December 11, 2009

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ireland is of course the end result of the gombeen policies advocated by Paul Staines and his pals. Total. Utter. Disaster.

Staines is or was (because it's been wound up) a member of the Progress Democrats - one of the parties that turned the Irish boom (started when Labour were in power) into this disaster where property speculators are being bailed out by forcing tens of thousands to emigrate.

Anyone who thinks that the Irish budget was the right one should come back in two years when the remnants of Fianna Fail are being scraped off the walls of the electoral charnel house.

7:25 pm, December 11, 2009

Anonymous Anonymous said...

oops, wrong post. sorry.

7:26 pm, December 11, 2009

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Its important that we fight the BNP, but we must concentrate on the Tories and Lib?Dems and not put everything into the anti BNP campaign or we risk losing!

5:36 pm, December 13, 2009

Anonymous Anonymous said...


Dear all, please find above a link to a petition @ No10 to stop the privatisation of the Royal Fleet Auxiliary, please could you sign and pass on to all those in your networks.

8:31 pm, December 13, 2009

OpenID quietzapple said...

Lab gain in Queens Park by-election. Lab 638, LD 366, Con 174

Taking seats from the Lib-Dems isn't really cricket- eh what?

2:32 am, February 05, 2010


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