A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Monday, July 26, 2010

CLP Nominations - some analysis

Some geeky stuff about the CLP nominations for Leader:

By membership size of CLPs (2008 figures as these are the most recent available):

Ed Balls got nominations from CLPs with a total 2008 membership of 3,985
Diane Abbott got nominations from CLPs with a total 2008 membership of 4,861
Andy Burnham got nominations from CLPs with a total 2008 membership of 9,670
Ed Miliband got nominations from CLPs with a total 2008 membership of 37,766
David Miliband got nominations from CLPs with a total 2008 membership of 43,614

Of the 20 largest CLPs in the country David Miliband got 5, Ed Miliband got 3, Abbott got 2, Burnham got 1 and the remaining 9 did not nominate.

By region:

Scotland - 18 CLP nominations for David Miliband, 14 for Ed Miliband, 4 for Burnham, 2 for Abbott, 2 for Balls. 20 did not nominate.
Wales - 10 for Ed Miliband, 8 for David Miliband, 1 for Balls. 21 did not nominate.
East Midlands - 12 for David Miliband, 9 for Ed Miliband, 4 for Abbott, 1 for Burnham. 20 did not nominate.
Eastern - 19 for Ed Miliband, 11 for David Miliband, 4 for Abbott. 24 did not nominate.
London - 24 for Ed Miliband, 19 for David Miliband, 4 for Abbott, 3 for Burnham, 1 for Balls. 22 did not nominate.
North - 14 for David Miliband, 5 for Ed Miliband, 2 for Burnham, 1 for Balls. 11 did not nominate. North West - 21 for David Miliband, 18 for Burnham, 12 for Ed Miliband, 2 for Abbott, 2 for Balls. 16 did not nominate.
South East - 23 for David Miliband, 17 for Ed Miliband, 7 for Burnham, 2 for Balls, 1 for Abbott. 34 did not nominate.
South West - 11 for Ed Miliband, 10 for David Miliband, 2 for Burnham, 1 for Abbott. 30 did not nominate.
West Midlands - 15 for David Miliband, 11 for Ed Miliband, 5 for Balls, 2 for Burnham, 2 for Abbott. 24 did not nominate.
Yorkshire - 14 for Ed Miliband, 12 for David Miliband, 4 for Burnham, 3 for Balls. 21 did not nominate.


UPDATE: According to labourlist, "Bethnal Green & Bow, Hampstead & Kilburn, Poplar & Lime house and South Dorset all voted to nominate Ed Miliband but are not included here due to problems with their paperwork." This would have taken Ed M up to nominations from CLPs witha total membership of 40,174 as 3 of these are very large CLPs. It would have given him an increased lead in London (27 CLPs) and 5 rather than 3 of the top 20, equalling his brother.

3 Comments:

Blogger John Wiseman said...

With unite support ed should win

John

8:36 pm, July 26, 2010

 
Anonymous Dan Judelson said...

Our GC last night showed 150 new members since the general election; according to various candidates, up to 25,000 members have joined nationally since the election. Luke's put together an analysis based on the figures that were available, but I'm not clear it means anything at all at this point.

12:50 pm, July 27, 2010

 
Blogger Luke Akehurst said...

The pattern with both the 1998 onwards decline in membership and the current boost is that it tends to follow the existing ratios between CLPs ie the big CLPs now are the same names they were 1, 10 or 30 years ago.

1:01 pm, July 27, 2010

 

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