A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, March 18, 2011

Council by-elections

Catching up on last night's two by-elections:

Paisley South Ward, Renfrewshire CC. Lab gain from SNP. First pref votes: Lab 2081 (49.4%, +17.8), SNP 1366 (32.4%, +3.9), Con 388 (9.2%, +2.3), Ind 164 (3.9%, -12.8), LD 134 (3.2%, -9.4), SSP 82 (2%, +1.3). Swing of 7% from SNP to Lab since 2007. Points towards a good result for Labour in the Scottish Parliament in May and in the Renfrewshire Council election next year.

Pembury Ward, Tunbridge Wells DC. LD gain from Con. LD 578 (43.6%, +3), Con 450 (34%, -25.5), UKIP 297 (22.4%, +22.4). Swing of 14.3% from Con to LD since 2010. Disappointing that Labour did not field a candidate.


Anonymous Anonymous said...

still concerned no Labour candidate in T Wells

Come on comrades

This weekend make sure you get those nomination papers completed

10:17 pm, March 18, 2011

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Why didn't Gary Heather stand this time?

5:16 pm, March 19, 2011

Anonymous Patrick Moule said...

Re: that Liberal gain in Tunbridge Wells. Worth noting that this has more to do with UKIP standing a candidate and splitting the Tory vote than anything else. I think UKIP will perform relatively well in the forthcoming local elections, often to Labour's benefit.

12:42 pm, March 21, 2011

Anonymous Anonymous said...

New poll of South West England
21 Mar 2011 from MarketingMeans.

Voting intention in the South West (with changes from the vote shares in 2010) currently stands at CON 39%(-4), LAB 29%(+14), LDEM 18%(-17), UKIP 6%(+1), GRN 6%(+5).

With a drop of 17 points the Lib Dem drop is larger than in national polls.

In past elections the South West has largely been a battle between the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats – Labour have very little support outside of the Bristol area, Plymouth, Exeter and Swindon.

If these figures were repeated at a general election Labour would gain 10 seats.

Only three Liberal Democrat seats in the South West would be held – Thornbury and Yate, Bath and Yeovil.

10:04 pm, March 21, 2011


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