A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Friday, February 13, 2015

Council by-elections

There have been just four council by-elections in the last fortnight. Yesterday included an important Labour gain from UKIP in Harlow which is a key parliamentary seat in Essex.

12 February

Bar Hill Division, Cambridgeshire CC.  Con hold. Con 787 (46%, +0.6), UKIP 251 (14.7%, -7.4), LD 238 (13.9%, +5.4), Lab 235 (13.7%, +0.1), Green 200 (11.7%, +2.3). Swing of 4% from UKIP to Con since 2013.

Mark Hall Ward, Harlow BC. Lab gain from UKIP. Lab 586 (42.6%, +8.2), UKIP 353 (25.7%, -12.2), Con 334 (24.3%, +4.5), Green 55 (4%, +4), LD 47 (3.4%, -4.4). Swing of 10.2% from UKIP to Lab since 2014.

Oswestry East Division, Shropshire UA. Con hold. Con 629 (47.5%, +17), Lab 247 (18.6%, -10.2), Green 231 (17.4%, +17.4), LD 218 (16.5%, +16.5). Swing of 13.6% from Lab to Con since 2013.

5 February

Brimington Division, Derbyshire CC. Lab hold. Lab 1293 (62%, -6.7), UKIP 380 (18.2%, +18.2), Ind 157 (7.5%, +7.5), LD 135 (6.5%, -2.8), Con 120 (5.8%, -5.4). Swing of 12.5% from Lab to UKIP since 2013.

Friday, January 30, 2015

Council by-elections

There was one council by-election on Wednesday and two in the same ward on Thursday:

Purley-on-Thames Ward, West Berkshire UA. Con hold. Con 936 (68.1%, +1), Lab 172 (12.5%, -8.7), UKIP 163 (11.9%, +11.9), LD 104 (7.6%, -4.1). Swing of 4.9% from Lab to Con since 2011. This ward is in the parliamentary key seat of Reading West.

Marshalswick South Ward, St Albans DC. 2 Con holds. Con 667 & 647 (30.8%, -8.1), LD 495 & 488 (22.9%, +3.6), Green 450 & 166 (20.8%, +10.6), Lab 406 & 312 (18.7%, -4), UKIP 148 & 147 (6.8%, -2.4). Swing of 5.9% from Con to LD since 2014. This is in one of a handful of parliamentary seats the LDs think they might have a chance of gaining against the tide. The big gap between the two Green candidates is because they were listed on the ballot as “first choice” and “second choice”. This is the first by-election evidence of the Green polling surge.

Friday, January 23, 2015

Council by-elections

Just three council by-elections so far this year, with the SNP and UKIP doing well:

8 January

Bolsover North West Ward, Bolsover DC. Lab hold. Lab 174 (45%, -22), UKIP 153 (39.5%, +39.5), Con 60 (15.5%, -17.6). Swing of 30.8% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

22 January

East Kirkcaldy Ward, Fife UA. SNP hold. First preference votes: SNP 1460 (47.3%, +10.9), Lab 1088 (35.3%, -14.7), Con 223 (7.2%, +1.2), Green 126 (4.1%, +4.1), UKIP 117 (3.8%, +3.8), LD 40 (1.3%, -1.5), Ind 19 (0.6%, +0.6), Ind 12 (0.4%, +0.4). Swing of 12.8% from Lab to SNP since 2012.

Crowborough West Ward, Wealden DC. Con hold. Con 465 (58.7%, -14.1), UKIP 327 (41.3%, +41.3). Swing of 27.7% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Friday, December 19, 2014

Council by-elections

There were just two contested council by-elections yesterday:

Bowydd & Rhiw Ward, Gwynedd UA. PC hold. Uncontested in this and previous election.

St James Ward, RB Kingston-on-Thames. Con hold. Con 1123 (42.9%, +5.1), LD 865 (33%, +11), Lab 355 (13.5%, -4.5), UKIP 206 (7.9%, -3.8), Green 71 (2.7%, -3.7). Swing of 3% from Con to LD since 2014.

Ollerton Division, Nottinghamshire CC. Lab hold. Lab 1171 (56.4%, -1.9), Con 533 (25.7%, +4.1), UKIP 347 (16.7%, -3.3), LD 24 (1.2%, +1.2). Swing of 3% from Lab to Con since 2013.

Friday, December 12, 2014

Council by-elections

There were 12 council by-elections yesterday, with no discernible pattern to the results, and gains for the Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru, SNP and UKIP.

South Kintyre Ward, Argyll & Bute UA. SNP hold. First preference votes: SNP 942 (62.2%, +37.2), LD 214 (14.1%, -0.1), Con 203 (13.4%, -32.5), Lab 156 (10.3%, +10.3). Swing of 18.6% from LD to SNP since 2012.

Gatehouse Ward, Aylesbury Vale DC. LD hold. LD 295 (35.6%, -5.9), UKIP 267 (32.2%, +15.2), Con 113 (13.6%, -9.2), Lab 113 (13.6%, -5), Green 28 (3.4%, +3.4), Ind 12 (1.4%, +1.4). Swing of 10.6% from LD to UKIP since 2011.

Southcourt Ward, Aylesbury Vale DC. LD gain from Lab. LD 429 (42.3%, +6.3), UKIP 266 (26.2%, +12.1), Lab 175 (17.2%, -12.2), Con 112 (11%, -9.4), Green 33 (3.3%, +3.3). Swing of 2.9% from LD to UKIP since 2011.

Toton & Chilwell Meadows Ward, Broxtowe BC. Con hold. Con 952 (54.5%, +6.9), Lab 454 (26%, +3.9), UKIP 340 (19.5%, +6.4). Swing of 1.5% from Lab to Con since 2012 by-election.

Trelech Ward, Carmarthenshire UA. PC gain from Ind. PC 598 (68.3%, +33.6), Ind 181 (20.7%, -30.2), LD 96 (11%, -3.4). Swing of 31.9% from Ind to PC since 2012.

Kingsway Ward, Halton BC. Lab hold. Lab 537 (73.2%, -2.3), UKIP 164 (22.3%, -2.2), Con 22 (3%, +3), LD 11 (1.5%, +1.5). Swing of 0.1% from Lab to UKIP since this May.

Stamford North Division, Lincolnshire CC. UKIP gain from Ind. UKIP 400 (31.5%, +31.5), Lab 268 (21.1%, +0.1), Con 261 (20.6%, -11), Linc Ind 199 (15.7%, -31.7), LD 142 (11.2%, +11.2). Swing of 15.7% from Lab to UKIP since 2013.

Elgin City North Ward, Moray UA. SNP gain from Lab. First preference votes: SNP 728 (38%, -5.3), Ind 472 (24.6%, +15.2), Lab 287 (15%, -14.9), Con 273 (14.2%, -3.3), UKIP 81 (4.2%, +4.2), Green 77 (4%, +4). Swing of 10.3% from SNP to Ind since 2012.

Bransgore & Burley Ward, New Forest DC. Con hold. Con 834 (77.7%, +11.3), UKIP 171 (15.8%, +15.8), Lab 74 (6.9%, -7.4). Swing of 2.3% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Washington East Ward, Sunderland MBC. Lab hold. Lab 775 (38.3%, -3), Con 595 (29.4%, +4.1), UKIP 506 (25%, -1.1), Green 93 (4.6%, +4.6), LD 52 (2.6%, -2.2). Swing of 3.6% from Lab to Con since May this year.

Skelmersdale North Ward, West Lancashire DC. Lab hold. Lab 591 (87.9%, -1.8), Con 81 (12.1%, +1.8). Swing of 1.8% from Lab to Con since 2012.

Cox Green Ward, Windsor & Maidenhead UA. Con hold. Con 738 (50.7%, -2.2), LD 315 (21.6%, -10.9), UKIP 278 (19.1%, -19.1), Lab 124 (8.5%, -1.1). Swing of 4.4% from LD to Con since 2011.

Sunday, December 07, 2014

Council by-elections

There were three council by-elections on Thursday and one (in Adur DC in Sussex) on Friday. All four saw the Labour vote share increase. The Rossendale and Thurrock wards are in parliamentary seats that are key targets for Labour.

St Mary’s Ward, Adur DC. Con hold. Con 340 (38.4%, +1.3), Lab 223 (25.3%, +2.6), UKIP 216 (24.4%, +3.3), Green 106 (12%, -0.7). Swing of 0.7% from Con to Lab since May this year.

Netherfield Ward, Mansfield DC. Lab gain from Ind. Lab 347 (57.7%, +12.1), UKIP 225 (37.4%, +37.4), TUSC 29 (4.8%, +4.8). Swing of 12.7% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Longholme Ward, Rossendale BC. Lab hold. Lab 505 (43.8%, +0.9), Con 390 (33.8%, +0.6), UKIP 258 (22.4%, -1.4). Swing of 0.2% from Con to Lab since May this year.

Aveley & Uplands Ward, Thurrock UA. UKIP hold. UKIP 747 (41%, -6.2), Con 520 (28.5%, -1.1), Lab 338 (18.6%, +2.4), Ind 217 (11.9%, +11.9). Swing of 2.6% from UKIP to Con since May this year.

Friday, November 28, 2014

Council by-election results

There were 12 council by-elections yesterday. With the exception of a loss to the Tories in Melton, it was a good night for Labour, holding a split ward seat in Hillingdon, holding a seat in Midlothian with a good swing from the SNP to Labour, in complete contradiction of the Scottish opinion polls, and holding three Oxford council estate seats with over 70% of the vote and the Greens losing vote share and getting derisory scores in a parliamentary seat they have announced is one of their dozen national targets. Congratulations to my wife Linda on her election as Blackbird Leys Ward councillor with 75.7% of the vote and a 7.7% swing from UKIP to Labour since May.

Troup Ward, Aberdeenshire UA. SNP gain from Con. First preference votes: SNP 1159 (46.1%, +6.4), Con 574 (22.8%, +1.9), Ind 391 (15.5%, +15.5), LD 141 (5.6%, +3.6), Lab 140 (5.6%, -0.9), Green 68 (2.7%, +2.7), Ind 43 (1.7%, +1.7). Swing of 2.2% from Con to SNP since 2012.

Bridlington Central & Old Town Ward, East Yorkshire UA. UKIP gain from SDP. UKIP 401 (30.8%, +30.8), Con 352 (27.1%, -2), Ind 217 (16.7%, +16.7), Ind 214 (16.5%, +16.5), Ind 116 (8.9%, +8.9). Swing of 16.4% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Howdenshire Ward, East Yorkshire UA. Con hold. Con 1020 (46.2%, +2.6), UKIP 891 (40.3%, +5.4), Lab 298 (13.5%, -2.1). Swing of 1.4% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Ellerby & Kirk Ella Ward, East Yorkshire UA. Con hold. Con 1522 (55.6%, +9.4), UKIP 699 (25.5%, +25.5), Lab 515 (18.8%, +2.7). Swing of 8.1% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Charville Ward, LB Hillingdon. Lab hold. Lab 950 (39.2%, +4.2), Con 929 (38.3%, +7), UKIP 468 (19.3%, -3), TUSC 40 (1.7%, -1.3), LD 37 (1.5%, +1.5). Swing of 1.4% from Lab to Con since May this year. This was a split ward electing a mix of Lab and Con councillors in May.

St Neots Priory Park Ward, Huntingdonshire DC. Con hold. Con 448 (45.5%, -2.9), UKIP 337 (25.5%, +7.4), Lab 199 (20.2%, +5.4). Swing of 5.2% from Con to UKIP since May this year.

Asfordby Ward, Melton DC. Con gain from Lab. Con 265 (54.3%, +16.2), Lab 129 26.4%, -7.7), UKIP 94 (19.3%, +19.3). Swing of 12% from Lab to Con since 2011. This was a split ward electing both Lab and Con councillors in 2011.

Midlothian East Ward, Mildlothian UA. Lab hold. First preference votes: Lab 1294 (32.9%, -2.7), SNP 1260 (32.1%, -10.8), Ind 780 (19.8%, +19.8), Con 331 (8.4%, -0.7), Green 197 (5%, +5), LD 68 (1.7%, +1.7). Swing of 4.1% from SNP to Lab since 2012.

Kirkwall West & Orphir Ward, Orkney UA. Ind hold. All candidates Independent in this election and in 2012.

Blackbird Leys Ward, Oxford CC. Lab hold. Lab 509 (75.7%, +8.4), UKIP 91 (13.5%, -7), Con 27 (4%, -1.6), Green 21 (3.1%, -1.4), TUSC 13 (1.9%, +1.9), LD 11 (1.6%, -0.4). Swing of 7.7% from UKIP to Lab since May this year.

Northfield Brook Ward, Oxford CC. Lab hold. Lab 401 (70.6%, -1), Con 65 (11.4%, n/c), Green 50 (8.8%, -2.5), TUSC 34 (6%, +6), LD 18 (3.2%, -2.5). Swing of 0.5% from Lab to Con since May this year.

The Leys Division, Oxfordshire CC. Lab hold. Lab 879 (71%, -10.5), UKIP 168 (13.6%, +13.6), Con 77 (6.2%, -1.4), Green 57 (4.6%, -2.8), LD 30 (2.4%, -1), TUSC 27 (2.2%, +2.2). Swing of 12.1% from Lab to UKIP since 2013.

 
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