A blog by Luke Akehurst about politics, elections, and the Labour Party - With subtitles for the Hard of Left. Just for the record: all the views expressed here are entirely personal and do not necessarily represent the positions of any organisations I am a member of.

Saturday, December 21, 2013

Council by-elections

There were nine council by-elections on Thursday:

Harper Green Ward, Bolton MBC. Lab hold. Lab 744 (51.9%, -21.2), Con 325 (22.7%, +5.5), UKIP 252 (17.6%, +17.6), Green 60 (4.2%, +4.2), LD 53 (3.7%, -6.1). Swing of 13.4% from Lab to Con since 2012.

Elm & Christchurch Ward, Fenland DC. Con hold. Con 301 (43.9%, -10), UKIP 234 (34.1%, +34.1), Ind 73 (10.6%, -9.7), Lab 51 (7.4%, -9.4), LD 27 (3.9%, -5.1). Swing of 22.1% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Market Ward, Forest Heath DC. Con hold. Con 266 (50.3%, -19.9), UKIP 263 (49.7%, +49.7). Swing of 34.8% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Black Isle Ward, Highland UA. Ind hold. First preferences: Ind 1003 (32.8%, +6), SNP 439 (14.3%, -0.1), Ind 382 (12.5%, +12.5), LD 334 (10.9%, -4.4), Ind 275 (9%, +9), Green 269 (8.8%, +1.9), Lab 184 (6%, +0.9), Con 175 (5.7%, +2.4). Swing of 3% from SNP to Ind since 2012.

Scotter Rural Division, Lincolnshire CC. LD gain from Con. LD 726 (49.2%, +26.3), Con 348 (23.6%, -18.4), UKIP 264 (17.9%, -7.4), Ind 137 (9.3%, +9.3). Swing of 22.4% from Con to LD since May this year.

Haywards Heath Franklands Ward, Mid Sussex DC. Con hold. Con 414 (45.6%, -15.1), UKIP 269 (29.6%, +29.6), Lab 103 (11.3%, -2.4), LD 91 (10%, -15.6), Green 31 (3.4%, +3.4). Swing of 22.4% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Croesyceiliog North, Torfaen UA. Lab hold. Lab 227 (45.8%, -13.5) UKIP 122 (24.6%, +24.6), Ind 79 (15.9%, -8.3), Con 55 (11.1%, -5.4), PC 13 (2.6%, +2.6). Swing of 19.1% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

Scotter Ward, West Lindsey DC. Ind gain from Con. Ind 529 (51.2%, +21.8), Con 219 (21.2%, -33.7), LD 148 (14.3%, -1.4), UKIP 138 (13.3%, +13.3). Swing of 27.8% from Con to Ind since 2011.

Haywards Heath East Division, West Sussex CC. Con hold. Con 649 (35.5%, +2.1), UKIP 576 (31.5%, +4.1), Lab 346 (18.9%, -2.5), LD 201 (11%, -6.9), Green 55 (3%, +3). Swing of 1% from Con to UKIP since May this year.

Friday, December 13, 2013

Council by-elections

There were only three council by-elections yesterday.

Hornby Castle Ward, Richmondshire DC. Con hold. Con  127 (46.2%), Ind 98 (35.6%), UKIP  50 (18.2%). Conservatives were unopposed in 2011.

Iver Village and Richings Park Ward, South Buckinghamshire DC. Con gain from LD. Con 422 (46.9%, -6), UKIP 377 (41.9%, +41.9), LD 101 (11.2%, -35.9). Swing of 24% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Bedworth West Division, Warwickshire CC. Lab hold. Lab 904 (62.6%, +4.5), Con 353 (24.4%, -2.7), UKIP 142 (9.8%), TUSC 46 (3.2%, -3.4). Swing of 3.6% from Con to Lab since May this year. A reassuring contrast to the loss of Arbury Ward seat on Nuneaton & Bedworth DC last week.

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Labour First Submission to the Collins Review

Labour First 

Response to Interim Report on Building a One Nation Party
1.THE DEVELOPMENT OF A NEW RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE LABOUR 
PARTY AND INDIVIDUAL MEMBERS OF OUR AFFILIATE ORGANISATIONS.

• What kind of relationship with the party do you think those individuals who choose to affiliate want or expect?

This will vary from individual to individual. The common denominator will be a desire to express support for the Labour Party. As with individual members of CLPs, the extent to which the people who choose to affiliate will want to be involved in the campaigning, political, social and cultural life of the Labour Party will vary from nil upwards – so they need to be presented with opportunities for a deeper relationship and allowed to choose the extent they want to take them.

• What rights should they receive? Should their rights differ from CLP members and if so how?

Affiliated members would continue to have their current constitutional rights plus the opportunities for a greater level of involvement in the campaigning, political, social and cultural life of the Labour Party inherent in the Labour Party having full access to their membership details. 

However, all other constitutional rights over selecting candidates and running for office would remain the preserve of full individual members. 

Affiliated members cannot be given identical rights to full individual members as there would then be no incentive for members of affiliates to pay full rate membership. 

The Labour Party would actively promote to affiliated members the right to become full individual members of the Party, with the right to participate in selections, hold office etc, for an additional payment to bring them from the affiliation fee paid by their union to the minimum rate of individual membership (currently £21.50, but we would support reducing this to £15). 

• What ideas do you have for how members of affiliated organisations might have a closer individual engagement with Labour and a real voice inside the party, particularly at the local level?

The fundamental problem here is that at the moment CLPs cannot communicate directly with members of affiliates and hence are unable to publicise their activities to them or to hear about the support they expect from local Labour parties for their industrial campaigns. Solving this requires the Labour Party having full access to the membership details of affiliated members. 

• How do we ensure that the collective voice of trade unions is still heard in the Labour Party? 
and
• Once individual affiliated members have had an active choice about whether to be part of the Labour Party, do you believe that we would need to consider the consequences for other party structures including conference and the rules for electing leaders?

The weighting accorded to the various affiliates within their sections of the Electoral College, Annual and Regional conferences and elections for the NEC and NPF should accordingly be based solely on the number of their members who opt-in, not on their total membership. This will incentivise each affiliate to promote opting-in. 

We do not propose any change to the collective weight accorded to affiliates in either the Electoral College or Annual or Regional conferences as we think these balances are a durable constitutional reflection of the balance between the different political stakeholders in the Party. For the same reason we would not support reducing the MPs’ and MEPs’ share of the Electoral College. Anyone elected as Labour Leader should be able to demonstrate they have a credible level of support from their colleagues in Parliament, from our affiliates and from individual members. 

However, should the number of members of affiliates who opt-in ever fall below the number of individual members of the Party we would propose that the weighting between affiliates and CLPs should move from 1:1 to a ratio based on the ratio between individual and affiliated members. For example, if there were 200,000 individual members and 200,000 or more affiliated members the current equal weightings in the Electoral College and at Annual Conference would apply. But if there were 300,000 individual members and 200,000 affiliated members the Annual Conference weighting would move to 60% CLPs, 40% affiliates, and the Electoral College to 33% MPs and MEPs, 40% CLPs, 27% affiliates. 

The same principles should apply within each Region to weighting at regional conferences i.e. affiliates affiliate to the region based on the real number of opted-in members in that region, and if the total of all of these affiliated members falls below the number of individual Labour Party members in the region, the balance of votes at regional conference moves from 50% CLPs:50% affiliates to a ratio based on the ratio between individual and affiliated members in that region. 

This mechanism would incentivise affiliates as a whole to promote opting-in. 

The process for trigger ballots for sitting MPs would continue to include votes for locally affiliated branches of affiliates as well as party branches, as this provides an essential element of stability without which some MPs would be constantly distracted by sectarian de-selection attempts. 

The current balance on the NEC between CLP and Trade Union representatives is lop-sided (6 vs 12) and the small size of the CLP section means it is difficult to achieve BAME representation or regional balance, with a disproportionate number of CLP reps from London due to its large membership. 

We would propose an NEC equally balanced like the Electoral College, with 12 representatives of affiliates (11 for the unions and 1 for the socialist societies), 12 for CLPs (with representatives elected by OMOV by pairs of regions, with a second rep for London due to its large membership, in order to ensure gender balance - 2 reps for London; 2 reps for Eastern and South East; 2 reps for South West and Wales; 2 reps for East Midlands and West Midlands; 2 reps for North West and Yorkshire & Humberside; 2 reps for North, Scotland and Northern Ireland) , and 12 for elected members and other interests (Treasurer, Youth Rep, BAME Labour Rep, EPLP Leader, 4 Councillors, 2 backbench MPs or MEPs and 2 frontbench appointees).  The Leader and Deputy Leader would be additional members not sitting in any of the above three groups.

The Treasurer should be elected by the same Electoral College process as the Leader and Deputy Leader to reflect their role as a senior office holder representing the whole Party and all three groups of stakeholders in it. 

We would not change the current composition of the National Policy Forum except in so far as the above changes to the NEC affect it. 

• What views do you have about the practical timeframe for agreeing and implementing changes to affiliation and related issues?

This will be very much dependent on the internal timetable for the affiliates to pass the necessary rule changes, which in some cases can only happen at a biennial rules conference, and to contact their members to ask them to opt-in. We would suggest the process should be completed in time for the 2019 Annual Conference and the biennial election of trade union representatives to the NEC that takes place then.

• Do you have any other ideas you wish to contribute to this review about how to deepen the relationship between Labour and working people?

The annual fee charged to affiliated members is currently only £3, which is rather derisory given the voting rights accorded. We need to consider raising the fee that affiliates pay per affiliated member to a more realistic figure. 

The Labour Party at national, regional and CLP level will need to have access to the 
contact lists of opt-in affiliated members of each affiliate in order to: 
o Establish that affiliation levels are based on the real number of opt-in members 
o Prevent entryism by vetting and barring any applications to opt-in from people who there is evidence are supporters of other political parties or proscribed organisations 
o Contact affiliated members to encourage them to become individual members of the Labour Party 
o Involve affiliated members in campaigning for elections and on issues, and in the wider political, social and cultural life of the Labour Party 
o Encourage affiliated members to vote in local and national elections 

For this reason, in order to be constitutionally valid, the opt-in form presented to members of affiliates will need to include their consent to their membership data being provided to the Labour Party. 

We want CLPs to continue to have the right accorded to them by Refounding Labour to choose whether to have an All Member Meeting model or a General Meeting with a delegate structure. The former makes sense in smaller CLPs but the latter remains a useful and inherently stable model where there are many local affiliates to be represented, a very large membership (making all member meetings impractical) or an imbalance in activist numbers between communities and branches in the CLP which might lead to under-representation of some groups in the CLP at an all member meeting. 

We would like to see the membership fee for all affiliated members, unwaged members and members on less than the national average salary reduced to £15 to equalise it with the rate previously offered to members of affiliates and to enable easier recruitment in working class communities so that our membership more represents our voters. 

In order to prevent recruitment exercises among affiliated members (or anyone else) motivated solely by the desire to stack the membership of a ward or constituency prior to a selection, we would recommend a one year freeze date for all selections (local government and parliamentary), so that everyone who is eligible to vote in a selection has proven they have a long-term rather than selection-motivated reason for joining. 

2. STANDARDISING CONSTITUENCY DEVELOPMENT PLANS.  
• What ideas do you have about the form that such agreements should take?
• What do you think should be the process for signing off and registering such agreements? 
• Do you have any other suggestions about issues raised in this section?

We do not believe there is a great necessity to alter the current arrangements regarding CLP development agreements with affiliated organisations.
3. USING PRIMARIES TO ENGAGE A WIDER PUBLIC IN LABOUR’S 
SELECTIONS OF CANDIDATES.

• Should individuals who register as supporters in London ahead of the mayoral selection be charged a small sum to finance the administration of the primary? In France this was One Euro.

Yes, £1. 

This should be a closed primary with voting rights only accorded to party members, members of affiliated organisations, existing registered Labour Supporters and people who register as Supporters during the process, who are on the electoral register and who declare they do not support another party and pay a £1 contribution towards the cost of the ballot. 

All candidates will need to be given access to the register of eligible participants, on a rolling updated basis as it will grow in the run-up to the poll. 

In the event that fewer than 100,000 voters register to participate in the primary, the NEC shall have the power to cancel the primary and revert to an OMOV ballot of Party members. 

• Should the Labour Party consider the use of new methods of voting, including voting on-line, in undertaking the London mayoral selection primary?

The primary would primarily be conducted by online voting, with provision for postal votes on demand to avoid digital exclusion of voters without personal internet access. 

• Do you agree that primaries should be used in certain parliamentary selections? If so, what criteria should the party follow in deciding when a primary should be used?

We do not think that primaries are an appropriate way to select parliamentary candidates other than in two categories: 
o Vacant Labour–held CLPs that are deemed by the NEC to have membership so low (below 200) that it is unrepresentative of the Labour voters in the CLP, or are in some other way grossly unrepresentative e.g. the membership is disproportionately from one ethnic or faith group when the electorate is not, or disproportionately from one town in a multi-town constituency. There were fewer than 20 Labour-held CLPs with membership under 200 in 2012, one of them is Falkirk. 
o CLPs which volunteer to pilot primaries. 
o In the latter case the CLP would shortlist candidates from those nominated by branches or affiliates. In the former, the NEC would draw up the shortlist. 
o There should be a spending limit of £200 plus 5p per elector who registers to participate in the primary, with a return of expenses provided to the procedures secretary. 
o Every person who registers to participate should receive an A4 leaflet or electronic equivalent from each candidate with their ballot. 

• Who should be eligible to take part in a constituency-based primary selection?

o These pilots would be run under the same rules and electorate as the mayoral model set out above and can be set aside if fewer than 1,000 voters register to participate. 
I.e. this would be a closed primary with voting rights only accorded to party members, members of affiliated organisations, existing registered Labour Supporters and people who register as Supporters during the process, who are on the electoral register and who declare they do not support another party and pay a £1 contribution towards the cost of the ballot. 

• Do you have any other suggestions about issues raised in this section?

Sign-up could be both online and by post, with appropriate levels of declaration of identity. 
o The Party would need rigorous processes, including scrutiny by CLPs, to vet and bar applicants to participate if they were known supporters of other political parties; and using Contact.Creator to verify that each person was on the electoral register. A random sample of applicants would need to be contacted to verify they had chosen as individuals to register and no one else was doing this on their behalf. 
o The Party would need to retain the power to suspend the process or rule out voters if there was evidence of attempts to stack it e.g. grossly disproportionate levels of supporter registration from particular localities, evidence of people being signed-up without their knowledge. 
o A strict code of conduct will be needed to regulate the role that candidates and their campaigns can play in registering people: i.e. they can promote registration and point people to the Party to register, but not actually register people themselves. 

Anyone registering to participate in a primary would automatically be considered a “Labour Supporter” as defined in Refounding Labour with regard to voting rights in future leadership elections, and their registration would be data available to CLPs on Contact.Creator. 

We do not think that primaries are an appropriate way to select local government candidates (including borough elected mayors) in any circumstances, given the low likelihood of public interest, the risk of stacking, and disproportionality i.e. positions at this level do not justify such an expensive or organisationally arduous process. 


4. ENSURING FAIRNESS AND TRANSPARENCY IN LABOUR SELECTIONS.

• What proposals do you have for a new code of conduct for use in candidate selections? 
• In particular, how would you amend or add to the existing code of conduct for selections?
• What do you believe would be a fair level at which to impose a spending cap on candidates, and their supporters, in a parliamentary selection? 

There should be a spending limit of £200 plus 5p per member, with a return of expenses provided to the procedures secretary. Doorstep, email and phone contact with members should not be limited but members should be able to opt out of further calls or emails relating from a candidate. The invitation to the hustings meeting or ballot papers should include 1 A4 leaflet from each candidate. 

• What do you believe would be a fair level at which to impose a spending cap on candidates, and their supporters, in a mayoral selection or a European selection? 

There should be a spending limit of £100,000 per candidate in the London mayoral selection.

The spending limit for European selections should be £5,000 plus 5p per member, with a return of expenses provided to the procedures secretary. Doorstep, email and phone contact with members should not be limited but members should be able to opt out of further calls or emails relating from a candidate. The ballot papers should include 1 A4 leaflet from each candidate.

• What do you believe would be a fair level at which to impose a spending cap on candidates, and supporters of candidates, in elections for the Leader and Deputy Leader of the Labour Party?

There should be a spending limit of £1 per member in elections for the Leader and Deputy Leader.

• How do you believe that the code of conduct and the spending limit could best be policed and enforced? 

The NEC should have the power to suspend selections and remove candidates from the process where breaches of the code of conduct or spending limit are proven.

What activities should be banned during a selection?

It should not be possible to recruit members with voting rights in a selection, and hence stack a selection, once a vacancy has been formally announced (in the case of a sitting MP announcing their retirement) or for a period of 12 months before the process starts, whichever is the longer period taking precedence. Members can still join during this period but should not be able to take part in the process. 

Everyone who joins the Labour Party as an individual member should complete and sign a full application form. They should be on the electoral register and all contacts must be through that address. If another person is to pay their membership, the member must sign a form agreeing to this. These won't eliminate fraud and vote buying, but should reduce it substantially. (This should be done not just to address the sort of issues arising from Falkirk, but the reasons why other CLPs are in special measures). 

• Are they any activities that the party should help to facilitate?

The party should provide as many opportunities as possible during the process for candidates to meet members.

• What sanctions do you think should apply where the rules are breached? 

The NEC should have the power to remove candidates from the selection process where breaches of the code of conduct or spending limit are proven.

•Do you have any other suggestions about issues raised in this section?

We support the basic principle that parliamentary candidates should be selected by OMOV, thus ensuring members have democratic control over the picking of the candidates they will campaign for. 

The current process is too long, which adds to its expense for candidates and acts as a deterrent to some participants, particularly those with jobs outside politics, or caring commitments. It means that Labour prospective candidates are usually only able to pursue one selection in any cycle whereas other parties’ shorter processes allow candidates several tries at different seats. We would propose the entire process could be run in a maximum of 4 weeks from opening nominations to final hustings. 

We want to retain the basic shape of the current process: nominations by branches and affiliates, shortlisting and then an OMOV hustings, but reduce the time between each of these events.

We would retain the NEC’s powers to shortlist in by-elections and in very late selections, which given we now have fixed-term parliaments can be defined more tightly than in 2010 as any selection starting after 1 March 2015. 

The recent selection of MEP candidates was too long (4 weeks voting would have been sufficient), involved excessive spending (with one candidate reporting an £18,000 donation) so needs tighter spending limits as set out above, and would have benefited from a more obvious way for members to opt out of receiving emails from candidates. In every region members should have been presented with a shortlist to rank that was longer than the number of candidates to be selected. Prior to shortlisting by regional boards CLPs and regional affiliates should have had nomination rights. Any candidate approved as fit to stand by the panel should be able to seek nominations, and anyone who achieves a threshold (e.g. 5 CLP nominations) should go forward to the OMOV ballot to be ranked. 

Friday, December 06, 2013

Council by-elections

There were eight council by-elections yesterday. An unexpected Labour loss in Nuneaton was offset by an unexpected gain in Dartford.

Riverside Ward, Cardiff CC. Lab hold. Lab 1120 (50.3%, +3.6), PC 773 (34.7%, +3.6), Con 107 (4.8%, -2.9), UKIP 97 (4.4%, +4.4), TUSC 70 (3.1%, +0.4), LD 58 (2.6%, -1.2). No swing since 2012.

Splott Ward, Cardiff CC. Lab hold. Lab 706 (39.7%, -8.2), LD 604 (34%, +4), UKIP 209 (11.7%, +11.7), Ind 94 (5.3%, +5.3), Con 86 (4.8%, +0.5), TUSC 80 (4.5%, +1.5). Swing of 6.1% from Lab to LD since 2012.

South Woodham Elmwood and Woodville Ward, Chelmsford BC. Ind (SWFI) gain from Con. SWFI 281 (31.4%, -5.8), Con 275 (30.8%, -16.8), UKIP 249 (27.9%, +27.9), Lab 65 (7.3%, -1.7), LD 24 (2.7%, -3.6). Swing of 5.5% from Con to SWFI since 2011.

Swanscombe Ward, Dartford BC. Lab gain from Residents (SGRA). Lab 274 (29.7%, +7.7), SGRA 273 (29.6%, -35.5), UKIP 200 (21.7%, +8.8), Ind 138 (15%, +15), Con 38 (4.1%, +4.1). Swing of 21.6% from SGRA to Lab since 2011.

Shettleston Ward, Glasgow CC. Lab hold. Lab 2025 (53.5%, -7), SNP 1086 (28.7%, -2.2), Con 224 (5.9%, +1.7), UKIP 129 (3.4%, +3.4), TUSC 68 (1.8%, +1.8), LD 53 (1.4%, +0.7), No Bedroom Tax 50 (1.3%, +1.3), Green 41 (1.1%, -0.4), Soc 35 (0.9%, nc),  Christian 34 (0.9%, +0.9), Britannica 31 (0.8%, +0.8), Dem All 6 (0.2%, +0.2). Swing of 2.4% from Lab to SNP since 2012.

Riverside Ward, Liverpool CC. Lab hold. Lab 1055 (70.9%, -10.5), Green 144 (9.7%, +3.9), UKIP 119 (8%, +8), LD 64 (4.3%, +4.3), TUSC 49 (3.3%, nc), Con 39 (2.6%, -1.6), Eng Dem 9 (0.6%, -2.5), Ind 7 (0.5%, +0.5), Ind 1 (0.1%, +0.1). Swing 7.2% from Lab to Green since 2012.

Ancoats & Clayton Ward, Manchester CC. Lab hold. Lab 965 (57.5%, -16.8), Liberal 219 (13.1%, +13.1), UKIP 138 (8.2%, +8.2), Green 106 (6.3%, -2.3), Con 75 (4.5%, -2.4), Pirate 72 (4.3%, +1.3), BNP 46 (2.7%, +2.7), LD 31 (1.8%, -2.2), TUSC 17 (1%, -2.3), Comm League 9 (0.5%, +0.5). Swing of 15% from Lab to Liberal since 2012.

Arbury Ward, Nuneaton & Bedworth DC. Con gain from Lab. Con 395 (40.4%, +7.7), Lab 369 (37.7%, -19.6), UKIP 109 (11.1%, +11.1), Green 56 (5.7%, -4.3), BNP 35 (3.6%, +3.6), TUSC 8 (0.8%, +0.8), Eng Dem 6 (0.6%, +0.6). Swing of 13.7% from Lab to Con since 2012.

Friday, November 29, 2013

Council by-elections

There were six council by-elections yesterday.

Winkfield & Cranbourne Ward, Bracknell Forest UA. Con hold. Con 582 (52.5%, -18.9), UKIP 318 (28.7%, +28.7), Lab 139 (12.5%, -1.4), LD 69 (6.2%, -8.5). Swing of 23.8% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Caddington Ward, Central Bedfordshire UA. Con hold. Con 738 (39.6%, -26.9), Ind 560 (30.0%, +30), UKIP 334 (17.9%, +17.9), Lab 209 (11.2%, -10.2), LD 24 (1.3%, -10.8). Swing of 28.5% from Con to Ind since 2011.

Landward Caithness Ward, Highland UA. Result to follow.

Vassall Ward, LB Lambeth. Lab hold. Lab 1319 (59.8%, +17.4), LD 468 (21.2%, -15.5), Con 153 (6.9%, -4.9), Green 113 (5.1%, -4), UKIP 87 (3.9%, +3.9), TUSC 44 (2%, +2), SPGB 22 (1%, +1). Swing of 16.5% from LD to Lab since 2010. Given this was a split ward with one LD councillor in 2010 this result reinforces the expectation that there will be further Labour gains from the LDs in London in May.

Billinge & Seneley Green Ward, St Helens MBC. Lab hold. Lab 936 (50.7%, -12.5)
UKIP 442 (24%, +24), Con 248 (13.4%, -5.4), Green 94 (5.1%, +0.2), BNP 73 (4.0%, +4), LD 52 (2.8%, +2.7). Swing of 18.3% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

Horbury & South Ossett Ward, Wakefield MBC. Lab hold.  Lab 1061 (39.8%, -0.7),
UKIP 856 (32.8%, +22.3), Con 504 (19.3%, -3.5), LD 212 (8.1%, -0.2). Swing of 11.5% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Labourlist post

My Labourlist post on why the poll showing Labour ahead in Thanet South means we should have a more ambitious strategy towards winning in Kent: http://labourlist.org/2013/11/why-labour-needs-a-kent-strategy/

Friday, November 22, 2013

Council by-elections

A rather random collection of results in last night’s five council by-elections, with four of them changing hands:

Pontrilas Division, Herefordshire UA. It's OUR County gain from Con. IOC 429 (46.7%, +25.4), Ind 261 (28.4%, -4.2), Con 229 (24.9%, -21.2). Swing of 10.6% from Ind to IOC since 2011.

Golcar Ward, Kirklees MBC. LD gain from Lab. LD 1591 (47.6%, +11.2), Lab 901 (27%, -12.7), UKIP 450 (13.5%, +13.5), Green 210 (6.3%, -5), Con 189 (5.7%, -6.9). Swing of 12% from Lab to LD since 2012.

Hillmorton Ward, Rugby BC. Con hold. Con 400 (33%, -11.9), Lab 339 (28%, -1.8), UKIP 231 (19.1%, +19.1), LD 221 (18.2%, -0.4), Green 21 (1.7%, +1.7). Swing of 5.1% from Con to Lab since 2012.

Eastfield Ward, Scarborough BC. Lab gain from LD. Lab 310 (48.8%, +19.8), UKIP 175 (27.6%, +27.6), Ind 97 (15.3%, +3.9), Con 32 (5%, -4.7), Green 11 (1.7%, +1.7), Ind 10 (1.6%, +1.6). Swing of 3.9% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Comberton Ward, South Cambridgeshire DC. Con gain from LD. Con 378 (63.4%, +25.9), LD 96 (16.1%, -36.6), Lab 74 (12.4%, +2.6), UKIP 48 (8.1%, +8.1). Swing of 31.3% from LD to Con since 2011.

Friday, November 15, 2013

Council by-elections

There were four council by-elections yesterday including two Labour gains in Cumbria and a loss to an Independent in Stoke, where local politics is extremely idiosyncratic:

Seaton Ward, Allerdale DC. Lab gain from Ind. Lab 464 (40%, +3.6), UKIP 426 (36.7%, +36.7), Con 133 (11.5%, +11.5), Green 108 (9.3%, -4.9), LD 30 (2.6%, +2.6). Swing of 16.6% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Winton East Ward, Bournemouth UA. Con hold. Con 503 (41.8%, +14), Lab 215 (17.9%, -3.2), UKIP 212 (17.6%, +17.6), LD 191 (15.9%, -1.4), Green 48 (4%, -10.8), Ind 34 (2.8%, -5.8). Swing of 8.6% from Lab to Con since 2011.

Seaton Division, Cumbria CC. Lab gain from Ind. Lab 628 (46.8%, +14.8), UKIP 483 (36%, +10.9), Con 107 (8%, +3.2), Ind 98 (7.3%, -26.1), LD 26 (1.9%, +1.9). Swing of 2% from UKIP to Lab since May this year.

Baddeley, Milton & Norton Ward, Stoke-on-Trent UA. City Ind gain from Lab. City Ind 861 (32.3%, +32.3), Con 504 (18.9%, -3.4), Lab 444 (16.6%, -4.7), UKIP 333 (12.5%, +5.5), Ind 313 (11.7%, -2.5), BNP 79 (3%, -4.5), Green 50 (1.9%, +1.9), LD 32 (1.2%, -2.8), Ind 27 (1%, +1), TUSC 25 (0.9%, +0.9). Swing of 17.9% from Con to City Ind since 2011.

I don’t usually report parish council results but there was a noteworthy Labour gain from Conservative in Sandwich South Ward of Sandwich TC. This is in one of the more Tory components of South Thanet parliamentary constituency and plays to my theory that Labour may stand a chance in this parliamentary seat, which we held 1997-2010, because UKIP and the Tories are evenly splitting the anti-Labour vote. Sittingbourne & Sheppey has a similar 3-way dynamic.

Friday, November 08, 2013

Council by-elections

There were 10 council by-elections yesterday and 1 last week. A solid set of results for Labour. Some comically bad results for the Lib Dems.
  
7 November
  
Kingswood Ward, Corby BC. Lab hold. Lab 722 (63.3%, -8.5), UKIP 246 (21.6%, +21.6), Con 154 (13.5%, -14.7), LD 18 (1.6%, +1.6). Swing of 15.1% from Lab to UKIP since 2011. Tories pushed into third in part of a parliamentary constituency they won in 2010.

Crook Division, Durham UA. Lab hold. Lab 741 (40.4%, +9.6) Ind 496 (27%, -6), Wear Valley Ind 360 (19.6%, -4.4), LD 145 (7.9%, +1), Con 54 (2.9%, +2.9), Green 40 (2.2%, -3.1). Swing of 7.8% from Ind to Lab since May this year when this was a split ward returning 2 Lab and 1 Ind councillors.

Bosworth Ward, Harborough DC. Con hold. Con 259 (54.2%, -21.2), LD 114 (23.8%, +23.8), UKIP 105 (22%, +22). Swing of 22.5% from Con to LD since 2011.

Harrow on the Hill Ward, LB Harrow. Lab hold. Lab 991 (38.9%, +4.9), Con 836 (32.8%, +1.6), Ind 308 (12.1%, -6.7), Harrow First 173 (6.8%, +6.8), UKIP 168 (6.6%, +6.6), LD 70 (2.7%, -14.3). Swing of 1.7% from Con to Lab since 2010. A good result in what was a split ward between Lab and Con in 2010 given the recent political turmoil in Harrow – the Harrow First label are the breakaway ex-Labour councillors who gave council control to the Tories.

Tupsley Division, Herefordshire UA. It’s Our County hold.  IOC 987 (61.3%, +11.7), Con 347 (21.5%, +0.7), LD 277 (17.2%, -0.7). Swing of 5.5% from Con to IOC since 2011.

Dales Ward, Nottingham UA.  Lab hold. Lab 1644 (66.4%, +12.3), UKIP 364 (14.7%, +14.7), Con 220 (8.9%, -9), Green 99 (4%, +4), LD 78 (3.1%, -17.8), TUSC 72 (2.9%, +2.9). Swing of 1.2% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Radford & Park Ward, Nottingham UA. Lab hold. Lab 1146 (65.2%, +17.1), Con 355 (20.2%, -6.1), UKIP 123 (7%, +7), Green 80 (4.6%, -9.7), Elvis 31 (1.8%, +1.8), TUSC 22 (1.3%, +1.3). Swing of 11.6% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Derby Ward, Sefton MBC. Lab hold. Labour 903 (64.7%, -16.4), UKIP 293 (21%, +7.5), Ind 97 (7%, +7), TUSC 48 (3.4%, +3.4), Ind (actually Con) 29 (2.1%, -0.8), Green 25 (1.8%, +1.8). Swing of 12% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

Riverside & Laleham Ward, Spelthorne BC. Con hold. Con 895 (53.3%, -7.3) UKIP 441 (27.2%, +8.4), Lab 227 (14%, +14), LD 56 (3.5%, -15.2). Swing of 7.9% from Con to UKIP since 2011.
  
Chipping Norton Ward, West Oxfordshire DC. Lab hold. Lab 810 (57%, -3), Con 500 (35.2%, -4.8), Green 58 (4.1%, +4.1), LD 53 (3.7%, +3.7). Swing of 0.9% from Con to Lab since 2012. Something of an iconic ward, Cameron's backyard!

31 October

Pillgwenlly Ward, Newport UA. Lab hold. Lab 500 (47.4%, -3.4), LD 233 (22.1%, +12), PC 167 (15.8%, -2.8), Con 155 (14.7%, -5.9). Swing of 7.7% from Lab to LD since 2012.

Friday, October 25, 2013

By-elections

In addition to the Scottish Parliament by-election in Dunfermline, there were 10 council by-elections yesterday. Labour had the best night with gains from the Tories in Shepshed in the parliamentary marginal of Loughborough and the SNP in Hamilton to add to the Scottish Parliament gain from the SNP.
Loughborough Hastings Ward, Charnwood DC. Lab hold. Lab 554 (61.4%, -4.1), Con 127 (14.1%, -20.4), UKIP  111 (12.3%, +12.3),  Brit Dems Stop Immigration Leave EU 85 (9.4%, +9.4), LD 26 (2.9%, +2.9). Swing of 8.2% from Con to Lab since 2011.
Shepshed West Ward, Charnwood DC. Lab gain from Con. Lab 683 (48.1%, +9.4), Con 560 (39.4%, -2), LD 178 (12.5%, -7.4). Swing of 5.8% from Con to Lab since 2011.
Dunfermline South Ward, Fife UA. Lab hold. First preference votes: Lab2552 (39.7%, -3), SNP 2057 (32%, +5.3), LD 1009 (15.7%, -4.9), Con 450 (7%, +0.6), Green 183 (2.8%, -0.7), UKIP 183 (2.8%, +2.8). Swing of 4.2% from Lab to SNP since 2012.
Waterloo Ward, Havant BC. Con hold. Con 693 (44%, -16.3), LD 446 (28.7%, +12.6), UKIP 296 (19%, +19), Lab 129 (8.3%, -15.4). Swing of 14.5% from Con to LD since 2012.
North Walsham East Division, Norfolk CC. LD hold.  LD 1044 (40.9%, +5.8), UKIP 565 (22.1%, -1), Lab 442 (17.3%, -3.9), Con 359 (14.1%, -2.4), Green 80 (3.1%, -0.9), Ind 61 (2.4, +2.4). Swing of 3.4% from UKIP to LD since May this year.
Hamilton South Division, South Lanarkshire UA. Lab gain from SNP. First preference votes: Lab 1781 (51.7%, +0.2), SNP 1120 (32.5%, -0.1), Con 322 (9.4%, +0.2), Christian 133 (3.9%, +0.8), UKIP 86 (2.5%, +2.5). Swing of 0.1% from SNP to Lab since 2012.
Bovey Ward, Teignbridge DC. Con hold. Con 933 (50.3%, +10.9), LD 472 (25.5%, -1), UKIP 253 (13.6%, +6.6), Lab 196 (10.6%, +2.9). Swing of 6% from LD to Con since 2011.
Warnham & Rusper Division, West Sussex CC. Con hold. Con 868 (58.2%, +3.2), UKIP 335 (22.5%, -7.7), Green 119 (8%, +8), LD 103 (6.9%, -7.9), Lab 65 (4.4%, +4.4). Swing of 5.5% from UKIP to Con since May this year.
Winstanley Ward, Wigan MBC. Lab hold. Lab 746 (42.1%, -6.8), UKIP 421 (23.7%, +23.7), Community Action Party 326 (18.4%, -13.7), Con 180 (10.1%, +0.7), Green 55 (3.1%, -6.4), Ind 27 (1.5%, +1.5), LD 19 (1.1%, +1.1). Swing of 15.3% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.
Upton Ward, Wirral MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1954 (65.4%, +5.8), Con 762 (25.5%, +2.9), Green 143 (4.8%, -0.1), LD 130 (4.3%, +0.4). Swing of 1.5% from Con to Lab since 2012.
Scottish Parliament result:

Dunfermline. Lab gain from SNP. Lab 10279 (42.5%, +6.9), SNP  7402 (30.6%, -7),  LD  2852 (11.8%, -7.9), Con  2009 (8.3%, +1.2), UKIP  908 (3.8%, +3.8), Green 593 (2.5%, +2.5), Ind  161 (0.6%, +0.6).  Swing of 7% from SNP to Lab since 2011. 

Friday, October 18, 2013

Council by-elections

There were six council by-elections last night. The Lib Dems had the best night, gaining one seat from the Tories and holding marginals against Labour and the Tories. Labour should be pleased to hold the Thurrock seat and with it control of the council in a part of Essex where the Tories and UKIP are strong and Labour candidate Polly Billington is waging a determined campaign to win back the parliamentary seat.
Dalston Ward, Carlisle BC. LD gain from Con. LD 506 (37.2%, -14.6), Con 476 (34.9%, +10.8), Lab 186 (13.7%, -1.6), UKIP 167 (12.3%, +3.6), Green 27 (2%, +2). Swing of 12.7% from LD to Con since 2012. The LDs follow up their gain of a seat in this ward last year with a 14.6% less impressive result which is still enough to pick up another of the ward’s seats.
Westbourne Ward, Chichester BC. Con hold. Con 184 (41.3%, -18.6), UKIP 106 (23.8%, +23.8), Green 85 (19.1%, +19.1), LD 68 (15.2%, -21.1), Patria 3 (0.7%, +0.7). Swing of 21.2% from Con to UKIP since 2011.
Barnfield Ward, Luton UA. LD hold. LD 674 (37.9%, +3.2), Lab 635 (35.7%, +4.1), Con 397 (22.3%, -4.3), Green 63 (4.1%, -3). Swing of 0.5% from LD to Lab since 2011.
Sandsfield East Ward, Neath & Port Talbot UA. Lab hold. Lab 718 (59.7%, +23.1), Resident 222 (18.5%, -5.2), UKIP 154 (12.8%, +12.8), PC 69 (5.7%, +5.7), Con 40 (3.3%, +3.3). Swing of 14.2% from Res to Lab since 2012.
Levens Ward, South Lakeland DC. LD hold. LD 569 (57%, +1.2), Con 430 (43%, +2.8). Swing of 0.8% from LD to Con since 2012.

Stifford Clays Ward, Thurrock UA. Lab hold. Lab 646 (36.8%, -8.3), 570 (32.5%, +5.6), UKIP 504 (28.7%, +4.3), LD 35 (2%, -1.5). Swing of 7% from Lab to Con since 2011. If Labour had lost this seat it would have lost us control of Thurrock Council.

Friday, October 11, 2013

Council by-elections

There were eight council by-elections yesterday. A strong set of results for Labour including a gain from the SNP in Glasgow.

Royston Ward, Barnsley MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1143 (67.4%, nc), UKIP 393 (23.2%, +9.4), Con 100 (5.9%, +0.9), Eng Dem 32 (1.9%, -1.2), BNP 28 (1.7%, +1.7). Swing of 4.7% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

Govan Ward, Glasgow UA. Lab gain from SNP. First preference votes: Lab 2055 (43.4%, +11.2), SNP 1424 (30%, -2.6), No Bedroom Tax 446 (9.4%, +9.4), Con 215 (4.5%, +1.3), UKIP 113 (2.4%, +2.4), Green 112 (2.4%, -0.9), Ind 103 (2.2%, -7.1), LD 73 (1.5%, +0.2), Christian 60 (1.3%, +1.3), Ind 52 (1.1%, +1.1), Comm 35 (0.7%, +0.7), Solidarity 28 (0.6%, -0.3), Britannica 19 (0.4%, +0.4), Scottish Democratic Alliance 1 (0%). Swing of 6.9% from SNP to Lab since 2011.

Ancoats & Clayton Ward, Manchester MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1239 (70.5%, -3.8), UKIP 166 (9.4%, +9.4), Green 89 (5.1%, -3.5), Con 82 (4.7%, -2.2), Pirate 79 (4.5%, +1.5), BNP 58 (3.3%, +3.3), LD 44 (2.5%, -1.5). Swing of 6.6% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

South Selby Division, North Yorkshire CC. Con hold. Con 592 (37%, -3.2), Lab 525 (32.8%, -1.6), UKIP 282 (17.6%, +17.6), Ind 201 (12.6%, -5.7). Swing of 0.8% from Con to Lab since May this year.

Weaste & Seedly Ward, Salford MBC. Lab hold. Lab 803 (53.1%, +8.7), UKIP 280 (18.5%, -4.2), Con 240 (15.9%, +1.2), Ind 96 (6.4%, +2.7), Green 42 (2.8%, -1.7), BNP 29 (1.9%, -2.3), TUSC 21 (1.4%, -0.3). Swing of 6.5% from UKIP to Lab since by-election this June.

Brewood & Coven Ward, South Staffordshire DC. Con hold. Con 459 (40.8%, -3.7), Lab 352 (31.3%, +6.4), UKIP 225 (20%, +20), Ind 89 (7.9%, -22.9). Swing of 5.1% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Tweedale West Ward, Scottish Borders UA. Con hold. First preference votes: Con 1155 (42.7%, +18), LD 677 (25%, -9.9), SNP 359 (13.3%, -8.4), Lab 203 (7.5%, -1.9), Borders Party 228 (8.4%, -0.9), Ind 43 (1.6%, +1.6), UKIP 43 (1.6%, +1.6). Swing of 14% from LD to Con since 2012.

Parbold Ward, West Lancashire DC. Con hold. Con 554 (49.6%, -18.4), Lab 461 (41.2%, +9.2), UKIP 103 (9.2%, +9.2). Swing of 13.8% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Friday, October 04, 2013

Council by-elections

There were four council by-elections yesterday. These showed continued UKIP strength and the Lib Dem vote holding up in two rural areas where they have strong organisation. Labour unexpectedly gained a seat in rural Lincolnshire that might have been expected to be prime UKIP territory.
 
Oakfield Ward, Aylesbury Vale DC. LD hold. LD 406 (34.8%, +7.4), UKIP 325 (27.8%, +16), Con 173 (14.8%, -10), Lab 145 (12.4%, -7), Ind 118 (10.1%, -5.5). Swing of 4.3% from LD to UKIP since 2011.
 
Chapel St Leonards Ward, East Lindsey DC. Lab gain from Ind. Lab 382 (33.5%, +33.5), UKIP 228 (20%, +20), Ind 206 (18.1%, -33), Ind 175 (15.4%, +15.4), Con 149 (13.1%, -18.9). Swing of 6.8% from UKIP to Lab since 2011.
 
Abbeygate Ward, St Edmundsbury BC. Con hold. Con 359 (42.8%, -1.7), Green 236 (28.1%, -3.4), UKIP 85 (10.1%, +10.1), LD 83 (9.9%, -1.9), Lab 76 (9.1%, -3.1). Swing of 0.9% from Green to Con since by-election earlier this year.
 

Taunton Halcon Ward, Taunton Deane DC. LD hold. LD 282 (36.9%, -2.3), UKIP 172 (22.5%, -2.8), Con 165 (22.1%, +6.2), Lab 146 (19.1%, +5.5). Swing of 0.3% from UKIP to LD since by-election earlier this year.

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Elections at Labour Conference

There were three internal elections held at Labour Party Annual Conference.
 
CLP delegates voted for the Conference Arrangements Committee (CAC) and National Constitutional Committee (NCC). These elections are always highly factionalised with rival left and moderate slates of candidates. These committees sound boring but determine how conference is run and the policing of the rulebook.
 
The CAC result, where each CLP could vote for 2 candidates, was:
 
Heidi Alexander MP (Moderate)           74972 elected
Tom Blenkinsop MP (Moderate)           67140 elected
Katy Clark MP (Left)                           58769
Peter Willsman (Left)                            49835
 
So in this election there was a 56.7% to 43.3% split in favour of the moderates.
 
The NCC result involved a third candidate without factional backing so was more difficult to interpret:
 
Maggie Cosin (Moderate)                    66146 elected
Gary Heather (Left)                              36647
Gertrude Hewitt (Independent)            24559
 
The other election at conference was for the 12 seats in the Trade Union section of Labour’s National Executive Committee (out of 33 seats on the NEC in total). Usually these are not really contested as the unions construct a deal to ensure all the main affiliates are represented and a contest avoided. In this instance the voting figures show there was broad agreement around eleven candidates but the twelfth seat was hotly contested between Community and BFAWU. Community is, along with USDAW, the union closest politically to the Blairite Progress grouping. It primarily represents workers in the steel industry and in the wider communities associated with that industry. BFAWU is the Bakers’ Union and is less than 10% the size of Community with only 5,100 affiliated members on the most recent figures I have. It is politically on the Hard Left and its candidacy for the NEC (and consequent removal of the Community incumbent representing over 55,000 affiliated members and the sixth largest affiliate) was reportedly being heavily touted by Unite. In the event Community held on, unlike in 2009 when the quota was used to exclude their incumbent male NEC member. The figures suggest Unison, GMB, USDAW and Community voted one way, and Unite, perhaps CWU, and some smaller leftwing unions the other.
 
Each union could vote for 12 candidates:
Keith Birch (Unison)                       2610244
Paddy Lillis (USDAW)                   2610244
Wendy Nicholls (Unison)                2610244
Mary Turner (GMB)                       2610244
Jim Kennedy (UCATT)                  2605144
Cath Speight (GMB)                      2605144
Andi Fox (TSSA)                           2594644
Jennie Formby (Unite)                    2578358
Andy Kerr (CWU)                         2578358
Rachel Maskell (Unite)                   2578358
Martin Mayer (Unite)                     2565948
Susan Lewis (Community)             1358165
Ian Hodson (BFAWU)                  1269889 not elected
 

The other indicator of left-right balance among the CLP delegates was on a card vote on a rule change about election of council Labour Group leaders by an electoral college rather than by councillors, which was promoted by the (Hard Left) Campaign for Labour Party Democracy and opposed by the NEC. The CLPs split 19% in favour of this proposal and 81% against (though presumably some people on the left may have opposed it on grounds of practical feasibility).

Friday, September 27, 2013

Council by-elections

There were 10 council by-elections yesterday. The only seat to change hands was a Sevenoaks ward which had been won by Labour in a by-election due to the personal vote of the candidate in the village concerned, and has now been lost to UKIP.

Wombwell Ward, Barnsley MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1240 (66.8%, -6.5), UKIP 457 (24.6%, +24.6), Con 81 (4.4%, -0.8), Eng Dem 78 (4.2%, -3.8). Swing of 15.6% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

Highfield Ward, Blackpool UA. Lab hold. Lab 518 (36.4%, -2.9), Con 388 (27.2%, -12.9), UKIP 324 (22.8%, +22.8), Ind 90 (6.3%, -9.6), LD 59 (4.1%, -0.4), Green 37 (2.6%, +2.6), Ind 8 (0.6%, +0.6). Swing of 5% from Con to Lab since 2011.

Banbury Roscote Ward, Cherwell DC. Lab hold. Lab 758 (58.9%, +2.2), Con 323 (25.1%, -7.3), UKIP 206 (16%, +5.1). Swing of 4.8% from Con to Lab since Nov 2012 by-election.

Coleford East Ward, Forest of Dean DC. Lab hold. Lab 289 (37.2%, +1.9), UKIP 227 (29.3%, +29.3), Con 104 (13.4%, -10.3), LD 80 (10.3%, -5.6), Ind 76 (9.8%, -15.3). Swing of 13.7% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Redmarley Ward, Forest of Dean DC. Con hold. Con 332 (65.5%, -14.5), UKIP 119 (23.5%, +23.5), Lab 56 (11%, -9). Swing of 19% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Way Ward, Mid Devon DC. Con hold. Con 189 (48%, -25.9), LD 130 (33%, +33), UKIP 60 (15.2%, +15.2), Ind 15 (3.8%, +3.8). Swing of 29.5% from Con to LD since 2011.

Mickleham, Westhumble and Pixham Ward, Mole Valley DC. LD hold. LD 423 (55.7%, +4.2), Con 236 (31.1%, -10.6), UKIP 101 (13.3%, +6.4). Swing of 7.4% from Con to LD since 2011.

Crockenhill and Well Hill, Sevenoaks BC. UKIP gain from Lab. UKIP 216 (35.7%, +28), Lab 188 (31.1%, -27.3), Con 139 (23%, -11), LD 62 (10.2%, +10.2). Swing of 27.7% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

St James Ward, Tendring DC. Con hold. Con 445 (49.8%, -2.5), UKIP 196 (21.9%, +21.9), Lab 135 (15.1%, -2.4), Tendring First 82 (9.2%, -9.7), LD 35 (3.9%, -1.5). Swing of 12.2% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Storrington Division, West Sussex CC. Con hold. Con 1037 (45.9%, -2), UKIP 729 (32.2%, -5.8), LD 364 (16.1%, +2), Green 131 (5.8%, +5.8). Swing of 1.9% from UKIP to Con since May this year.

Friday, September 20, 2013

Council by-elections

There were four council by-elections yesterday and one on Tuesday. UKIP showed continued progress with a gain in one of their heartland areas on the Kent coast; and Labour had solid results in Dudley and Oxford (gaining a seat from the LDs in leafy North Oxford) thanks in part to strong local campaigning.

17 September

Maybury & Sheerwater Ward, Woking BC. Con gain from LD. Con 1057 (44.1%, +22.6), Lab 833 (34.8%, +1.1), UKIP 255 (10.6%, -0.2), LD 252 (10.5%, -23.6). Swing of 10.8% from Lab to Con since 2012. This by-election was caused when the previous result (an LD win) was overturned because of electoral fraud. There is a large Muslim community in the ward many of whom seem to have switched from LD to Con as the Conservative candidate this time was from their community.

19 September

Seasalter Ward, Canterbury CC. UKIP gain from Con. UKIP 644 (38.5%, +4.1), Con 522 (31.2%, -7.2), Lab 307 (18.3%, -2.4), LD 147 (8.8%, +4.3), Green 54 (3.2%, +3.2). Swing of 5.7% from Con to UKIP since May this year.

Coseley East Ward, Dudley MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1053 (55.7%, +1.3), UKIP 478 (25.3%, +8.2), Con 190 (10.1%, -8.6), BNP 120 (6.3%, +6.3), Green 33 (1.7%, -1.1), NF 16 (0.8%, -6.2). Swing of 3.5% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.

Four Marks & Medstead Ward, East Hampshire DC. Con hold. Con 749 (58.1%, -7.4), UKIP 348 (27%, +27), Lab 119 (9.2%, +0.6), Green 73 (5.7%, +5.7). Swing of 17.2% from Con to UKIP since 2011.


North Ward, Oxford CC. Lab gain from LD. Lab 367 (34.7%, +1.3), LD 330 (31.2%, +8.3), Green 262 (24.7%, -0.2), Con 100 (9.4%, -9.4). Swing of 3.5% from Lab to LD since 2012.

Friday, September 13, 2013

Council by-elections

There were five council by-elections yesterday:
 
Dunstable Northfields Ward, Central Bedfordshire UA. Ind gain from Con. Ind 434 (33.4%, -2.8), Con 305 (23.5%, -7.8), Lab 297 (22.9%, -2.6), UKIP 227 (17.5%, +17.5), LD 35 (2.7%, -4.2). Swing of 2.5% from Con to Ind since 2011.
 
Wreake Villages Ward, Charnwood DC. Con hold. Con 396 (82%, +3.9), Lab 87 (18%, -3.9). Swing of 3.9% from Lab to Con since 2011.
 
Frithville Ward, East Lincolnshire DC. Con gain from Ind. Con 221 (57.6%, +23.7), UKIP 163 (42.4%, +42.4). Swing of 9.4% from Con to UKIP since 2011.
 
Hitchin North Division, Hertfordshire CC. Lab hold. Lab 1250 (47.8%, +1.8), Con 673 (25.7%, -7), LD 246 (9.4%, +2.8), UKIP 235 (9%, +9), Green 212 (8.1%, -6.6). Swing of 4.4% from Con to Lab since May this year.
 
Hitchin Oughton Ward, North Hertfordshire DC. Lab hold. Lab 361 (48%, -12.8), Con 180 (23.9%, -0.7), UKIP 148 (19.7%, +19.7), Green 32 (4.3%, -4.5), LD 31 (4.1%, -0.7). Swing of 6.1% from Lab to Con since 2012.
 

The discrepancy is the Hitchin results would appear to be caused by Labour targeting the marginal County division (gained from the Tories this May) at the expense of the safe district ward.

Labourlist Column

My Labourlist column from earlier this week about the union link: 

Friday, September 06, 2013

Council by-elections

There were a bumper crop of 10 council by-elections yesterday. Difficult to see a pattern other than UKIP doing a bit better than they had in previous weeks.

Fenside Ward, Boston BC. UKIP gain from Eng Dem. UKIP 162 (39.4%, +39.4), Con 87 (21.2%, +21.2), LD 87 (21.2%, +10.6), Lab 75 (18.2%, -6.9). Swing of 9.1% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Yewdale Ward, Carlisle BC. Lab hold. Lab 716 (48.7%, -10.5), Con 453 (30.8%, -4.6), UKIP 257 (17.5%, +17.5), LD 31 (2.1%, -0.7), Green 14 (1%, -1.7). Swing of 3% from Lab to Con since 2012.

Loughborough Ashby Ward, Charnwood DC. Lab hold. Lab 375 (71.8%, +9.6), UKIP 118 (22.6%, +22.6), Con 29 (5.6%, -32.2). Swing of 6.5% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Wadebridge East Division, Cornwall UA. LD gain from Ind. LD 408 (31.8%, +6.9), Ind 399 (31.1%, +5.9), Con 217 (16.9%, +5.6), UKIP 202 (15.7%, +0.1), Lab 58 (4.5%, -7.6). Swing of 0.5% from Ind to LD since May this year.

Ravensthorpe Ward, Daventry BC. Con hold. Con 285 (46.5%, -15.3), UKIP 212 (34.6%, +34.6), Lab 93 (15.2%, +15.2), LD 23 (3.8%, -14.4). Swing of 25% from Con to UKIP since 2012.

Ely East Ward, East Cambridgeshire DC. Con hold. Con 418 (37.5%, -4.5) LD 322 (28.9%, -8.2) UKIP 145 (13%, +13) Lab 138 (12.4%, -8.6) Ind 93 (8.3%, +8.3). Swing of 1.9% from LD to Con since 2011.

Middleton Cheney Division, Northamptonshire CC. Con hold. Con 1081 (52.8%, +10), UKIP 604 (29.5%, -5.9), Lab 221 (10.8%, -2.3), LD 141 (6.9%, -1.9). Swing of 8% from UKIP to Con since this May.

Bardwell Ward, St Edmundsbury BC. Con hold. Con 419 (78.5%, +1.7), Lab 65 (12.2%, +12.2), UKIP 50 (9.4%, -13.8). Swing of 5.3% from Con to Lab since 2011. 

Torrington Ward, Torridge DC. Green gain from LD. Green 292 (35.3%, +35.3), UKIP 181 (21.9%, +14.4), Ind 160 (19.3%, -9.4), Ind 106 (12.8%, +12.8), Con 88 (10.6%, -18.7). Swing of 10.5% from UKIP to Green since 2011.

Hambleden Valley Ward, Wycombe DC. Con hold. Con 379 (70.3%, -9.8), UKIP 97 (18%, +18), Lab 63 (11.7%, +11.7). Swing of 13.9% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

There was also one by-election last week:

Windermere Bowness Ward, South Lakeland DC. LD hold. LD 431 (60.9%, -4.2), Con 248 (35%, +5.1), Lab 29 (4.1%, -0.9). Swing of 4.7% from LD to Con since 2011.

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Council by-elections

There were four council by-elections on Thursday, two of which resulted in Labour gains from the Tories, including a ward in the key parliamentary marginal of Lincoln.
 
Askern Spa Ward, Doncaster MBC. Lab hold. Lab 1165 (54%, -16.4), LD 261 (12.1%, +12.1), UKIP 231 (10.7%, +10.7), Con 225 (10.4%, -19.2), Ind 106 (4.9%, +4.9), Eng Dem 98 (4.5%, +4.5), TUSC 72 (3.3%, +3.3). Swing of 14.3% from Lab to LD since 2012.
 
Bracebridge Ward, Lincoln CC. Lab gain from Con. Lab 577 (38.7%, -2.5), Con 480 (32.2%, -8.6), UKIP 345 (23.1%, +12.7), LD 75 (5%, +0.3), TUSC 14 (0.9%, +0.9). Swing of 3.1% from Con to Lab since 2012.
 
Newby Ward, Scarborough BC. Con gain from Ind. Con 380 (35.2%, -4.3), UKIP 285 (26.4%, +26.4), Lab 197 (18.2%, -6), Ind 143 (13.2%, -10), Green 76 (7%, +0.9). Swing of 15.4% from Con to UKIP since May this year.
 

Ramshill Ward, Scarborough BC. Lab gain from Con. Lab 190 (32.5%, +12.6), UKIP 149 (25.5%, +25.5), Con 122 (20.9%, -2.3), Green 67 (11.5%, -3.9), LD 56 (9.6%, -7.6). Swing of 6.5% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Saturday, August 17, 2013

Council by-elections

There were four council by-elections on Thursday. Very little progress for UKIP in Hartlepool and Walsall where they might have expected to do well, and a solid result for the LDs in West Berkshire where they retain strong local organisation:

Manor House Ward, Hartlepool UA. Lab hold. Lab 639 (56.4%, +7), UKIP 226 (19.9%, +4.2), Putting Hartlepool First 194 (17.1%, +0.5), Con 74 (6.5%, +0.4). Swing of 1.4% from UKIP to Lab since 2012.

Shebbear & Langtry Ward, Torridge DC. Con hold. Con 240 (47.2%, -15.9), UKIP 217 (42.7%, +42.7), Green 41 (8.1%, +8.1), Ind 10 (2%, +2). Swing of 29.3% from Con to UKIP since 2011.

Aldridge Central & South Ward, Walsall MBC. Con hold. Con 1254 (49.7%, -0.2), UKIP 615 (24.4%, +8.3), Lab 470 (18.6%, -4.3), LD 114 (4.5%, -6.6), Eng Dem 72 (2.9%, +2.9). Swing of 4.3% from Con to UKIP since 2012.

Hungerford Ward, West Berkshire UA. Con hold. Con 810 (48.4%, -12.7), LD 751 (44.8%, +5.9), Lab 86 (5.1%, +5.1), United People 28 (1.7%, +1.7). Swing of 9.3% from Con to LD since 2011.

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Labour First Submission to Collins Review

This is the text of Labour First's submission to the review Ed Miliband has initiated of the union link and candidate selection:

Labour First

Initial response to Ed Miliband’s speech on building a better Labour Party


 Introduction

Labour First believes that the affiliated trade unions are an integral part of our Party.

We welcome Ed Miliband’s bold statement that he wants ““to change the way individual Trade Unionists are affiliated to the Labour Party….. Individual Trade Union members should choose to join Labour through the affiliation fee, not be automatically affiliated”.

We want to take forward this aspiration in a way that further integrates individual trade unionists into Labour Party activity so that our activist and candidate base better reflects the composition of the electorate, whilst preserving the institutional relationship between Labour and its affiliates, which has been a source of organisational and financial stability.



1) The conduct of parliamentary selections to ensure fairness and transparency

• We support the basic principle that parliamentary candidates should be selected by OMOV, thus ensuring members have democratic control over the picking of the candidates they will campaign for.
• It should not be possible to recruit members with voting rights in a selection, and hence stack a selection, once a vacancy has been formally announced (in the case of a sitting MP announcing their retirement) or for a period of 12 months before the process starts, whichever is the longer period taking precedence. Members can still join during this period but should not be able to take part in the process.
• Everyone who joins the Labour Party as an individual member should complete and sign a full application form. They should be on the electoral register and all contacts must be through that address. If another person is to pay their membership, the member must sign a form agreeing to this. These won't eliminate fraud and vote buying, but should reduce it substantially. (This should be done not just to address the sort of issues arising from Falkirk, but the reasons why other CLPs are in special measures).
• The current process is too long, which adds to its expense for candidates and acts as a deterrent to some participants, particularly those with jobs outside politics, or caring commitments. It means that Labour prospective candidates are usually only able to pursue one selection in any cycle whereas other parties’ shorter processes allow candidates several tries at different seats. We would propose the entire process could be run in a maximum of 4 weeks from opening nominations to final hustings.
• We want to retain the basic shape of the current process: nominations by branches and affiliates, shortlisting and then an OMOV hustings, but reduce the time between each of these events.
• We would retain the NEC’s powers to shortlist in by-elections and in very late selections, which given we now have fixed-term parliaments can be defined more tightly than in 2010 as any selection starting after 1 March 2015.
• There should be a spending limit of £200 plus 5p per member, with a return of expenses provided to the procedures secretary. Doorstep, email and phone contact with members should not be limited but members should be able to opt out of further calls or emails relating from a candidate. The invitation to the hustings meeting or ballot papers should include 1 A4 leaflet from each candidate.
• The recent selection of MEP candidates was too long (4 weeks voting would have been sufficient), involved excessive spending (with one candidate reporting an £18,000 donation) so needs tighter spending limits, and would have benefited from a more obvious way for members to opt out of receiving emails from candidates. In every region members should have been presented with a shortlist to rank that was longer than the number of candidates to be selected. Prior to shortlisting by regional boards CLPs and regional affiliates should have had nomination rights. Any candidate approved as fit to stand by the panel should be able to seek nominations, and anyone who achieves a threshold (e.g. 5 CLP nominations) should go forward to the OMOV ballot to be ranked.

2) The development of a new relationship between the Labour Party and individual members of our affiliate organisations

The union link works. It gives a voice in Labour's policy making to millions of ordinary working class voters whose concerns are grounded in the realities and bread and butter issues of the workplace. It means that Labour's leaders are elected by a large, representative sample of those who actually vote for the Party.

The link gives trade unionists not just individual voices in the Labour Party but collective voices through their unions, an expression of our collectivist rather than individualist values as a party.

Across the world the most successful progressive parties are the ones with deep ties with the trade union movement.

The link needs strengthening at a local level with far more trade unionists being encouraged to both join the Party as individual members and become union delegates to their constituency parties. CLPs want more union delegates to attend their meetings, not just paper affiliations.

The link provides a constant conveyer belt from union activists of recruits to public office - councillors and MPs - virtually the only way in which ordinary working class people get to hold public office - if it didn't exist the PLP would be even more dominated by lawyers and other professionals and career politicians. Of course this is not to say that everyone supported in a selection by a union is working class.

In policy terms it is difficult to see how anyone could think that the Warwick Agreement reached with the affiliated unions was not a positive input to Labour's 2005 and 2010 Manifestoes, including important policies on workers' rights that might otherwise have not been committed to.

When the Labour Party hits hard times, the unions keep it going. When it tried to self destruct in the 1930s, '50s and '80s the unions were the voice of sanity and moderation.

We owe our existence as a party to the decision of the unions to set up the LRC with the Fabians and ILP, and to the work of individual trade unionists in setting up a CLP organisation on the ground.

Without the unions we are just A.N.Other centre-left political party like the Lib Dems or the SDP - rootless, not embedded in the communities we represent, and liable to be blown away by the first political gale just like the Liberals were in the early years of the century and the SDP were at the end of the '80s.

• We support the proposal that only those members of affiliates who consciously opt-in to a relationship with the Labour Party should be considered as affiliated members. It is only these opted-in members who should receive voting rights in Labour Party leadership and deputy leadership elections.
• The weighting accorded to the various affiliates within their sections of the Electoral College, Annual and Regional conferences and elections for the NEC and NPF should accordingly be based solely on the number of their members who opt-in, not on their total membership. This will incentivise each affiliate to promote opting-in.
• We do not propose any change to the collective weight accorded to affiliates in either the Electoral College or Annual or Regional conferences as we think these balances are a durable constitutional reflection of the balance between the different political stakeholders in the Party. For the same reason we would not support reducing the MPs’ and MEPs’ share of the Electoral College. Anyone elected as Labour Leader should be able to demonstrate they have a credible level of support from their colleagues in Parliament, from our affiliates and from individual members.
• However, should the number of members of affiliates who opt-in ever fall below the number of individual members of the Party we would propose that the weighting between affiliates and CLPs should move from 1:1 to a ratio based on the ratio between individual and affiliated members. For example, if there were 200,000 individual members and 200,000 or more affiliated members the current equal weightings in the Electoral College and at Annual Conference would apply. But if there were 300,000 individual members and 200,000 affiliated members the Annual Conference weighting would move to 60% CLPs, 40% affiliates, and the Electoral College to 33% MPs and MEPs, 40% CLPs, 27% affiliates.
• The same principles should apply within each Region to weighting at regional conferences i.e. affiliates affiliate to the region based on the real number of opted-in members in that region, and if the total of all of these affiliated members falls below the number of individual Labour Party members in the region, the balance of votes at regional conference moves from 50% CLPs:50% affiliates to a ratio based on the ratio between individual and affiliated members in that region.
• This mechanism would incentivise affiliates as a whole to promote opting-in.
• The annual fee charged to affiliated members is currently only £3, which is rather derisory given the voting rights accorded. We need to consider raising the fee that affiliates pay per affiliated member to a more realistic figure.
• The Labour Party at national, regional and CLP level will need to have access to the contact lists of opt-in affiliated members of each affiliate in order to:
o Establish that affiliation levels are based on the real number of opt-in members
o Prevent entryism by vetting and barring any applications to opt-in from people who there is evidence are supporters of other political parties or proscribed organisations
o Contact affiliated members to encourage them to become individual members of the Labour Party
o Involve affiliated members in campaigning for elections and on issues, and in the wider political, social and cultural life of the Labour Party
o Encourage affiliated members to vote in local and national elections
• For this reason, in order to be constitutionally valid, the opt-in form presented to members of affiliates will need to include their consent to their membership data being provided to the Labour Party.
• Affiliated members would continue to have their current constitutional rights plus the greater level of involvement in the campaigning, political, social and cultural life of the Labour Party inherent in the Labour Party having full access to their membership details.
• However, all other constitutional rights over selecting candidates and running for office would remain the preserve of full individual members.
• Affiliated members cannot be given identical rights to full individual members as there would then be no incentive for members of affiliates to pay full rate membership.
• The Labour Party would actively promote to affiliated members the right to become full individual members of the Party, with the right to participate in selections, hold office etc, for an additional payment to bring them from the affiliation fee paid by their union to the minimum rate of individual membership (currently £21.50).
• We would like to see the membership fee for all affiliated members, unwaged members and members on less than the national average salary reduced to £15 to equalise it with the rate previously offered to members of affiliates and to enable easier recruitment in working class communities so that our membership more represents our voters.
• In order to prevent recruitment exercises among affiliated members (or anyone else) motivated solely by the desire to stack the membership of a ward or constituency prior to a selection, we would recommend a one year freeze date for all selections (local government and parliamentary), so that everyone who is eligible to vote in a selection has proven they have a long-term rather than selection-motivated reason for joining.
• The process for trigger ballots for sitting MPs would continue to include votes for locally affiliated branches of affiliates as well as party branches, as this provides an essential element of stability without which some MPs would be constantly distracted by sectarian de-selection attempts.
• The current balance on the NEC between CLP and Trade Union representatives is lop-sided (6 vs 12) and the small size of the CLP section means it is difficult to achieve BAME representation or regional balance, with a disproportionate number of CLP reps from London due to its large membership.
• We would propose an NEC equally balanced like the Electoral College, with 12 representatives of affiliates (11 for the unions and 1 for the socialist societies), 12 for CLPs (with representatives elected by OMOV by pairs of regions, with a second rep for London due to its large membership, in order to ensure gender balance, i.e. 2 reps for London; 2 reps for Eastern and South East; 2 reps for South West and Wales; 2 reps for East Midlands and West Midlands; 2 reps for North West and Yorkshire & Humberside; 2 reps for North, Scotland and Northern Ireland ) , and 12 for elected members and other interests (Leader, Deputy Leader, Treasurer, Youth Rep, BAME Labour Rep, EPLP Leader, 2 Councillors, 2 backbench MPs or MEPs and 2 frontbench appointees).
• The Treasurer should be elected by the same Electoral College process as the Leader and Deputy Leader to reflect their role as a senior office holder representing the whole Party and all three groups of stakeholders in it.
• We would not change the current composition of the National Policy Forum except in so far as the above changes affect it.
• We want CLPs to continue to have the right accorded to them by Refounding Labour to choose whether to have an All Member Meeting model or a General Meeting with a delegate structure. The former makes sense in smaller CLPs but the latter remains a useful and inherently stable model where there are many local affiliates to be represented, a very large membership (making all member meetings impractical) or an imbalance in activist numbers between communities and branches in the CLP which might lead to under-representation of some groups in the CLP at an all member meeting.

3) The use of primaries in the selection of Labour candidate for London Mayor and in other circumstances

Our concerns about primaries are based on the lack of evidence of any public demand for such a process, as shown by the turnout of only 20,019 in the Tory primary that selected Boris Johnson in 2008, out of over a million people who went on to vote for him in the election itself. There is even less appetite for constitutional innovations like this in the Midlands and North than in London.

The premise for it the London primary is a myth that a primary might have in itself produced a different outcome in the 2010 Labour selection, and that with a different candidate we might have won. The second part is arguable, we will never know. But any serious observer of London politics would be able to tell you that Ken Livingstone would have won that selection whether through the 50-50 CLPs and affiliates OMOV Electoral College actually used or a primary.

Primaries should be rejected for a number of reasons:
• They are bad for Labour’s internal democracy, diluting members’ say in choosing candidates. This is at a time when members want more say in selections, not less.
• In the London case a primary weakens the union link as the affiliates currently have 50% of the vote (cast based on aggregating One Member One Vote ballots of ordinary union members).
• Primaries cost an immense amount to run and involve a vast amount of organisational effort. Like it or not we are not cash or resource rich as a party and should spent both on campaigning, not on a gimmicky way of picking candidates. You can’t run a primary on the cheap without the risk of electoral fraud or complaints of too few polling stations. Our guesstimate based on what it cost in constituencies where the Tories held them is that a  London primary would cost about £3 million to run in a fully democratic, transparent way. We simply don’t have a spare £3 million, and if we were going to charge people to vote as in France, turnout won’t be good and we might as well register them as members and stop pretending it is a primary.
• Campaigning to win a London-wide primary with potentially millions of voters would be beyond the resources of any potential candidate without big money or a huge media profile. You might as well give the Evening Standard 100% of the Electoral College as they will be able to make or break candidates, or just state “only celebs need apply”. Our calculation is that a proper campaign in a primary would cost about £750,000 per candidate!
• As stated above, there is no evidence of public demand for a primary. We will be doubling the number of times we ask people to vote, in an era of declining turnout. The primary will have far less than the 38% turnout in the actual 2012 Mayoral election. It would therefore be vulnerable to differential turnout by particular communities or campaigns which might saddle us with an unelectable candidate.
• In the US primaries are administered by the state governments, ensuring minimum standards regarding the conduct of the poll, and the states also include a party affiliation question in voter registration, so that “closed primaries” for your own party’s supporters only can be run. Neither facility is available in the UK and both would involve unpopular public subsidy of Labour’s internal democracy.
• The rise of the Tea Party shows how in a primary system a well-organised, well-funded and hyper-energised extremist grouping can foist its candidates on a more mainstream host party. The same thing happened when the Democrat left ousted Joe Lieberman as incumbent Senate candidate in Connecticut.

We should focus on recruiting members and supporters to the Labour Party, so it becomes larger, better funded and more representative of the public. We should also spend time identifying and encouraging our strongest possible candidates to run for Mayor, not tinkering with the selection process.  We ought to reject the idea of importing a US organisational model that was developed for specific US reasons.

Without resiling from this critique and our long-standing opposition to primaries, we accept that there may now be an experimental primary election for Labour’s next candidate for Mayor of London.
• We view the London Mayor as a sui generis case and we do not wish it to be seen as a precedent for the selection of borough mayoral candidates, where the demographics of individual boroughs means there would be even greater risks of a primary being hijacked by a particular ethnic or faith group with communal organisational structures and an ability to mobilise politically.
• We would want to see the following safeguards:
o Short-listing would be conducted by the NEC or Regional Board, based on interviewing all candidates who had been nominated by a regional affiliate and/or at least 5 London CLPs.
o This would be a closed primary with voting rights only accorded to party members, members of affiliated organisations, existing registered Labour Supporters and people who register as Supporters during the process, who are on the electoral register and who declare they do not support another party and pay a £1 contribution towards the cost of the ballot. This is so that supporters of other political parties cannot vote in our selection, perhaps mischievously voting for a weak candidate.
o Sign-up could be both online and by post, with appropriate levels of declaration of identity.
o The Party would need rigorous processes, including scrutiny by CLPs, to vet and bar applicants to participate if they were known supporters of other political parties; and using Contact.Creator to verify that each person was on the electoral register. A random sample of applicants would need to be contacted to verify they had chosen as individuals to register and no one else was doing this on their behalf.
o The Party would need to retain the power to suspend the process or rule out voters if there was evidence of attempts to stack it e.g. grossly disproportionate levels of supporter registration from particular localities, evidence of people being signed-up without their knowledge.
o A strict code of conduct will be needed to regulate the role that candidates and their campaigns can play in registering people: i.e. they can promote registration and point people to the Party to register, but not actually register people themselves.
o The primary would primarily be conducted by online voting, with provision for postal votes on demand to avoid digital exclusion of voters without personal internet access.
o There should be a spending limit of £100,000 per candidate.
o All candidates will need to be given access to the register of eligible participants, on a rolling updated basis as it will grow in the run-up to the poll.
• In the event that fewer than 100,000 voters register to participate in the primary, the NEC shall have the power to cancel the primary and revert an OMOV ballot of Party members.
• We do not think that primaries are an appropriate way to select parliamentary candidates other than in two categories:
o Vacant Labour –held CLPs that are deemed by the NEC to have membership so low (below 200) that it is unrepresentative of the Labour voters in the CLP, or are in some other way grossly unrepresentative e.g. the membership is disproportionately from one ethnic or faith group when the electorate is not, or disproportionately from one town in a multi-town constituency. There were fewer than 20 Labour-held CLPs with membership under 200 in 2012, one of them is Falkirk.
o CLPs which volunteer to pilot primaries.
o In the latter case the CLP would shortlist candidates from those nominated by branches or affiliates. In the former, the NEC would draw up the shortlist.
o These pilots would be run under the same rules and electorate as the mayoral model set out above and can be set aside if fewer than 1,000 voters register to participate.
o There should be a spending limit of £200 plus 5p per elector who registers to participate in the primary, with a return of expenses provided to the procedures secretary.
o Every person who registers to participate should receive an A4 leaflet or electronic equivalent from each candidate with their ballot.
• Anyone registering to participate in the Party would automatically be considered a “Labour Supporter” as defined in Refounding Labour with regard to voting rights in future leadership elections, and their registration would be data available to CLPs on Contact.Creator.
• We do not think that primaries are an appropriate way to select local government candidates (including borough elected mayors) in any circumstances, given the low likelihood of public interest, the risk of stacking, and disproportionality i.e. positions at this level do not justify such an expensive or organisationally arduous process.

4) Constituency development agreements between affiliated organisations and constituency Labour parties

We do not believe there is a great necessity to alter the current arrangements regarding CLP development agreements with affiliated organisations.

About Labour First

Labour First is a network which exists to ensure that the voices of moderate party members are heard while the party is kept safe from the organised hard left, and those who seek to divert us from the work of making life better for ordinary working people and their families.

We believe in:
• Putting Labour First
Keeping the Labour Party as a party of Government with mainstream and election winning policies.

• The Trade Union Link
The unions are an integral part of our party.

• Strong Local Government
More power for local councillors not unaccountable community groups and quangos. Councillors deserve a strong voice within our party.

• Security for the UK
The UK playing a full role in the EU and NATO and maintaining our special relationship with the USA. We oppose unilateral nuclear disarmament.


We can be contacted at labourfirst@gmail.com

Monday, August 12, 2013

Council by-elections

There were four council by-elections on Thursday. Labour held three of them and the Tories held the seat they defended in Swindon. The Swindon and Waveney wards are in parliamentary marginals. The Merton result confirms a run of good results for Labour in London, where every council seat is up for election next May. In all four wards the Lib Dem vote was derisory at under 4%, in contrast to recent rural wards where they retain some organisational capacity.

Colliers Wood Ward, LB Merton. Lab hold. Lab 1685 (72.2%, +21.1), Con 441 (18.9%, -0.7), UKIP 157 (6.7%, +6.7), LD 52 (2.2%, -15.1). Swing of 10.9% from Con to Lab since 2010.

Skelton Ward, Redcar & Cleveland UA. Lab hold. Lab 745 (46.1%, - 8.5), UKIP 485 (30%, +30), Con 176 (10.9%, -20.8), Ind 170 (10.5%, +10.5), LD 40 (2.5%, -11.3). Swing of 19.3% from Lab to UKIP since 2011.

Haydon Wick Ward, Swindon UA. Con hold. Con 1376 (49.6%, +6), Lab 887 (32%, +0.8), UKIP 426 (15.4%, +4.7), LD 83 (3%, -3.3). Swing of 2.6% from Lab to Con since 2012.

Oulton Ward, Waveney BC. Lab 450 (41.2%, +11.5), Con 329 (30.1%, +2.1), UKIP 269 (24.6%, +24.6), Green 23 (2.1%, -4.8), LD 21 (1.9%, -4.3). Swing of 4.7% from Con to Lab since 2011. 

Sunday, August 04, 2013

Council by-elections

Some interesting by-elections on Thursday, with UKIP losing two of the county seats they gained this May:
 
Codnor & Waingroves Ward, Amber Valley DC. Lab hold. Lab 557 (52.3%, -5.8), UKIP 250 (23.5%, +9.5), Con 219 (20.6%, -3.3), LD 39 (3.7%, +3.7). Swing of 7.7% from Lab to UKIP since 2012.
 
Penyrheol Ward, Caerphilly UA. PC hold. PC 929 (51.9%, +6.6), Lab 554 (30.9%, -4.8), TUSC 173 (9.7%, +3.9), Con 135 (7.5%, +7.5). Swing of 5.7% from Lab to PC since 2012.
 
Thetford West Division, Norfolk CC. Lab gain from UKIP. Lab 1071 (45.2%, +9.8), UKIP 900 (38%, +2.6), Con 282 (11.9%, -3.5), Ind 78 (3.3%, +3.3), Green 40 (1.7%, -1.1). Swing of 3.6% from UKIP to Lab since May this year. Great victory thanks to intensive campaigning for Labour’s Terry Jermy who only lost by 1 vote in May. No LD candidate in a ward they held from 2009 to 2013.
 
Littlemoor Ward, Ribble Valley DC. LD gain from Con. LD 361 (44.9%, +6.1), Ind 249 (31%, +31), Con 109 (13.6%, -23.3), Lab 85 (10.6%, -13.7). Swing of 12.5% from LD to Ind since 2011. LDs resilient in a rural area where they have strong organisation.
 

St Mary’s Division, Worcestershire CC. Con gain from UKIP. Con 504 (28%, +2.9), UKIP 442 (24.6%, -2.9), Lab 338 (18.8%, -4.6), Health Concern 321 (17.8%, +2.3), Ind 195 (10.8%, +10.8). Swing of 2.9% from UKIP to Con since May this year.

Friday, July 26, 2013

Council by-elections

Seven council by-elections were held yesterday, with some solid results for Labour:
 
Braintree East Ward, Braintree DC. Lab hold. Lab 461 (46.6%, -0.3), Con 267 (27%, -5.9), UKIP 194 (19.6%, +8.5), Green 67 (6.8%, +0.4). Swing of 2.8% from Con to Lab since March 2012 by-election.
 
Thrapston Market Ward, East Northants DC. Con hold. C 396 (43.1%, -12.4), Ind 210 (22.9%, -21.6), Lab 166 (18.1%, +18.1), UKIP 146 (15.9%, +15.9). Swing of 17% from Ind to Con since 2011.
 
Weybridge South Ward, Elmbridge BC. Con hold. Con 274 (48.6%, -20.9), LD 150 (26.6%, +7.8), UKIP 140 (24.8%, +24.8). Swing of 14.4% from Con to LD since 2012.
 
Beverley Ward, RB Kingston-upon-Thames. Con gain from LD. Con 1033 (35.1%, +2.1), LD 760 (25.9%, -14.7), Lab 717 (24.4%, +11.9), UKIP 223 (7.6%, +7.6), Green 207 (7%, -4). Swing of 8.4% from LD to Con since 2010.
 
Tulse Hill Ward, LB Lambeth. Lab hold. Labour 1575 (69.3%, +18.5), LD 277 (12.2%, -15.5), Green 177 (7.8%, -4.1), TUSC 76 (3.4%, +3.4), Con 74 (3.3%, -6.3), UKIP 64 (2.8%, +2.8), Ind 20 (0.9%, +0.9), Soc 11 (0.5%, +0.5). Swing of 17% from LD to Lab since 2010.
 
Weston-Super-Mare North Worle Ward, North Somerset UA. Ind gain from Con. Ind 531 (25.5%, +25.5), Con 471 (22.6%, -27.5), Lab 445 (21.4%, -1.9), LD 321 (15.4%, -11.2), UKIP 220 (10.6%, +10.6), Ind 93 (4.5%, +4.5). Swing of 26.5% from Con to Ind since 2011.
 

Felsted Ward, Uttlesford DC. Con hold. Con 557 (54.1%, -24.9), LD 253 (24.6%, +3.6), UKIP 181 (17.6%, +17.6), Lab 38 (3.7%, +3.7). Swing of 14.3% from Con to LD since 2011.

 
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